Quarter-Final Weekly Tips Recap: Round of 16 + QF Results & ROI | WC 2026

All twelve matches from the Round of 16 and Quarter-Finals settled and reviewed. Seven of twelve main tips landed, five of twelve value tips and two of twelve Bet Builders.

Quarter-Final Weekly Tips Recap: Round of 16 + QF Results & ROI | WC 2026

The week in numbers (all 12 matches settled)

Tips record (4 Jul , 12 Jul)

  • Main tips: 7/12 won
  • Value tips: 5/12 won
  • Bet Builders: 2/12 won
  • Correct scores: 1/4 exact
  • Tracked total (main + value + BB): 14/36 = 38.9%
  • ROI: -15.8%

Tournament tracker: R32 + R16 + QF combined (all 24 matches settled)

Tournament tracker: R32 + R16 + QF
All 24 matches settled
Tip type R32 R16 + QF Combined Win rate
Main tips 10/12 7/12 17/24 70.8%
Value tips 8/12 5/12 13/24 54.2%
Bet Builders 5/12 2/12 7/24 29.2%
Correct scores 4/12 1/4 5/16 31.3%
Tracked total 23/36 14/36 37/72 51.4%
ROI +62.7% -15.8% +23.4%

Morocco 3-0 Canada (2/4)

Morocco won 3-0. Morocco to Win at 8/13 was never in danger after Ounahi opened in the second half and Morocco added two more. Both Teams NOT to Score at 5/4 landed , Canada created nothing without a fit Koné or Davies. The Bet Builder (Morocco win + Under 2.5 + Morocco -1 AH) fell on the Under 2.5 leg: three goals is exactly Over 2.5. The -1 handicap and the win landed, but the Under 2.5 killed the builder. The Morocco 1-0 correct score missed. Two from four.

Morocco 3-0 Canada
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipMorocco to win8/13✓ WIN
Value tipBoth teams NOT to score5/4✓ WIN
Correct scoreMorocco 1-0ca 4/1✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderMorocco win + Under 2.5 + Morocco -1 AHca 4/1✗ LOSS

Full preview: Canada vs Morocco

France 1-0 Paraguay (1/4)

France won 1-0. France to Win at 2/7 was never in doubt after Mbappé’s 70th-minute penalty. Over 2.5 Goals at 4/7 fell flat , France’s group-stage scoring rate did not carry into the knockout round in Philadelphia’s heat. The Bet Builder (France win + Mbappé + Over 2.5) died on that same leg despite the other two landing. The France 3-0 correct score missed. One from four.

France 1-0 Paraguay
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipFrance to win2/7✓ WIN
Value tipOver 2.5 goals4/7✗ LOSS
Correct scoreFrance 3-0ca 9/1✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderFrance win + Mbappé scorer + Over 2.5ca 5/2✗ LOSS

Full preview: Paraguay vs France

Norway 2-1 Brazil (0/4)

Norway won 2-1. Brazil to Win at 4/7 was the round’s biggest shock. Haaland scored twice in the final 11 minutes after a goalless first 79 minutes. Brazil’s only goal was a Neymar penalty in stoppage time. Vinícius did not score despite multiple clear attempts , Nyland was outstanding , so the value tip also fell. The Bet Builder died on the first leg. Zero from four.

Norway 2-1 Brazil
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipBrazil to win4/7✗ LOSS
Value tipVinícius Jr anytime scorer7/5✗ LOSS
Correct scoreBrazil 2-0ca 13/4✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderBrazil win + Vinícius scorer + Under 3.5ca 13/4✗ LOSS

Full preview: Brazil vs Norway

England 3-2 Mexico (2/4)

England won 3-2. England to Win at 6/5 survived five goals and multiple lead changes. Bellingham’s brace inside 98 seconds went 2-0, Mexico fought back to 2-2, and Kane’s 89th-minute penalty settled it. Kane Anytime Scorer at 5/4 landed. The Bet Builder (England + Kane + Under 3.5) died on the final leg , five goals exceeded the threshold. The England 2-1 correct score missed (actual scoreline was the reverse). Two from four.

England 3-2 Mexico
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipEngland to win6/5✓ WIN
Value tipKane anytime scorer5/4✓ WIN
Correct scoreEngland 2-1ca 13/5✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderEngland win + Kane scorer + Under 3.5ca 13/5✗ LOSS

Full preview: Mexico vs England

Spain 1-0 Portugal (0/4)

Spain won 1-0. Over 2.5 Goals at 6/4 produced one goal , Merino’s header in the 91st minute. Ronaldo’s 12th-minute effort was tipped over by Simón but he did not score, ending the value tip. The Bet Builder (Over 2.5 + BTTS) needed goals that never came. The Spain 2-1 correct score at 9/1 missed. Zero from four.

Full preview: Portugal vs Spain

Spain 1-0 Portugal
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipOver 2.5 goals6/4✗ LOSS
Value tipRonaldo anytime scorer7/4✗ LOSS
Correct scoreSpain 2-19/1✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderOver 2.5 + BTTS + Ronaldo scorerca 4/1✗ LOSS

Belgium 4-1 USA (2/4)

Belgium won 4-1. Over 2.5 Goals at 6/4 landed with five goals. Both Teams to Score at 7/5 landed when Tillman converted a deflected free kick in the 31st minute. The Bet Builder (Over 2.5 + BTTS + Pulisic scorer) fell, Pulisic was substituted off injured in the 59th minute without scoring. He played, so the void rule does not apply. De Ketelaere scored twice, Vanaken added a third and Lukaku sealed it. The Belgium 2-1 correct score at 9/1 missed. Two from four.

Belgium 4-1 USA
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipOver 2.5 goals6/4✓ WIN
Value tipBoth teams to score7/5✓ WIN
Correct scoreBelgium 2-19/1✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderOver 2.5 + BTTS + Pulisic scorerca 9/1✗ LOSS

Full preview: USA vs Belgium

Argentina 3-2 Egypt (3/4)

Argentina won 3-2 in the comeback of the tournament. Messi Anytime Scorer at 4/6 arrived in the 83rd minute after he had missed a penalty earlier. Over 2.5 Goals at Evens landed with five goals. The Bet Builder (Messi + Argentina win + Over 1.5 Argentina goals) landed all three legs. Argentina had a 0.6% win probability when Romero pulled one back with 11 minutes to play. Three from four , the only miss was the Argentina 3-0 correct score.

Argentina 3-2 Egypt
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipMessi anytime scorer4/6✓ WIN
Value tipOver 2.5 goalsEvens✓ WIN
Correct scoreArgentina 3-0ca 2/1✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderMessi scorer + Argentina win + Over 1.5 Arg goalsca 2/1✓ WIN

Full preview: Argentina vs Egypt

Switzerland 0-0 Colombia (4-3 pens) (0/4)

No goals in 120 minutes. Luis Díaz Anytime Scorer at 2/1 and Over 2.5 Goals at 2/1 both required goals that never came. The Bet Builder fell on every leg. Kobel saved Cucho Hernández’s decisive kick and Vargas converted the winner. Zero from four.

Switzerland 0-0 Colombia (4-3 pens)
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipDíaz anytime scorer2/1✗ LOSS
Value tipOver 2.5 goals2/1✗ LOSS
Correct scoreColombia 1-0ca 5/1✗ LOSS
Bet BuilderDíaz scorer + Colombia win + Over 1.5 Col goalsca 5/1✗ LOSS

Full preview: Switzerland vs Colombia

France 2-0 Morocco QF (3/4) , Thu 9 Jul, 21:00 BST

France won 2-0. France to win to nil at 11/10 landed , Morocco finished with just one shot on target, an xG of 0.04 at half time. Mbappé’s goal confirmed the value tip. The Bet Builder (Mbappé + France win + Under 2.5) landed all three legs: two goals is Under 2.5. The France 1-0 correct score missed by one goal. Three from four.

France 2-0 Morocco QF — Thu 9 Jul
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipFrance to win to nil11/10✓ WIN
Value tipMbappé anytime scorer8/11✓ WIN
Correct scoreFrance 1-09/2✗ LOSS (actual 2-0)
Bet BuilderMbappé scorer + France win + Under 2.5ca 5/2✓ WIN

Full preview: France vs Morocco

Spain 2-1 Belgium QF (0/4) , Fri 10 Jul, 20:00 BST

Spain won 2-1. Fabián Ruiz opened in the 30th. De Ketelaere equalised before half time. Merino won it late from the bench via a Lammens error. Under 2.5 Goals at 4/5 fell on that third goal. Oyarzabal did not score , value tip fell. The Bet Builder (Spain win + Oyarzabal + Under 2.5) fell on two legs. The Spain 1-0 correct score missed. Zero from four.

Spain 2-1 Belgium QF — Fri 10 Jul
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipUnder 2.5 goals4/5✗ LOSS (3 goals)
Value tipOyarzabal anytime scorer6/5✗ LOSS
Correct scoreSpain 1-011/4✗ LOSS (actual 2-1)
Bet BuilderSpain win + Oyarzabal scorer + Under 2.5ca 5/2✗ LOSS

Full preview: Spain vs Belgium

Norway 1-2 England AET QF (2/4) , Sat 11 Jul, 22:00 BST

England won 2-1 after extra time. Schjelderup gave Norway the lead in the 36th minute. Bellingham equalised in the 45+2 and the match went to extra time locked at 1-1. Bellingham scored the winner in the 93rd minute of extra time. Both teams scored in regular time, so Both Teams to Score at 4/5 landed. Kane did not score , value tip fell. Haaland did not score, Bet Builder fell.

The final scoreline was England 2-1, which matches the correct score tip published at 7/1. However, note that standard Correct Score markets are typically settled on 90 minutes only. If you backed the standard CS line and your bookmaker settled on 90 minutes (score was 1-1 at full time), this would be a LOSS. Check settlement rules with your specific bookmaker. The 2-1 final result is accurate including extra time.

Norway 1-2 England (a.e.t.) QF — Sat 11 Jul
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipBoth teams to score4/5✓ WIN
Value tipKane anytime scorer6/4✗ LOSS
Correct scoreEngland 2-17/1✓ WIN*
Bet BuilderHaaland scorer + BTTS + Over 2.5ca 5/2✗ LOSS
*CS settled on full result inc. AET. Verify settlement rules with your bookmaker.

Full preview: Norway vs England

Argentina 3-1 Switzerland AET QF (0/4) , Sun 12 Jul, 02:00 BST

Argentina won 3-1 after extra time. Mac Allister opened in the 10th minute. Ndoye equalised in the 67th and Embolo was sent off in the 72nd. Álvarez put Argentina ahead in the 112th minute of extra time and Lautaro Martínez sealed it in the 120+1. Messi did not score , main tip fell. Switzerland scored (Ndoye 67′) so Argentina to nil fell. All four tip types fell for this match.

Argentina 3-1 Switzerland (a.e.t.) QF — Sun 12 Jul
Tip typeSelectionOddsResult
Main tipMessi anytime scorer4/7✗ LOSS
Value tipArgentina to win to nil11/10✗ LOSS (Ndoye 67′)
Correct scoreArgentina 1-05/1✗ LOSS (actual 3-1 AET)
Bet BuilderMessi scorer + Argentina win + Under 2.5ca 4/1✗ LOSS

Full preview: Argentina vs Switzerland

Full R16 + QF breakdown

Match Score Main Value BB CS
Morocco vs Canada3-0
France vs Paraguay1-0
Norway vs Brazil2-1 NOR
Mexico vs England3-2 ENG
Portugal vs Spain0-1 ESP
USA vs Belgium1-4 BEL
Argentina vs Egypt3-2 ARG
Switzerland vs Colombia0-0 pens
France vs Morocco QF2-0
Spain vs Belgium QF2-1
Norway vs England QF1-2 AET
Argentina vs Switzerland QF3-1 AET
7 mains · 5 values · 2 BBs · 1 CS 7/12 5/12 2/12 1/4

What £1 on every tip returned this week

£1 on each main tip (12 bets, £12 total staked)

£1 per main tip 12 bets — £12 total staked
Match Tip Odds Return
Morocco vs CanadaMorocco to win8/13£1.62
France vs ParaguayFrance to win2/7£1.29
Norway vs BrazilBrazil to win4/7LOSS
Mexico vs EnglandEngland to win6/5£2.20
Portugal vs SpainOver 2.5 goals6/4LOSS
USA vs BelgiumOver 2.5 goals6/4£2.50
Argentina vs EgyptMessi anytime scorer4/6£1.67
Switzerland vs ColombiaDíaz anytime scorer2/1LOSS
France vs Morocco QFFrance to win to nil11/10£2.10
Spain vs Belgium QFUnder 2.5 goals4/5LOSS
Norway vs England QFBoth teams to score4/5£1.80
Argentina vs Switzerland QFMessi anytime scorer4/7LOSS
7 winners from 12 — £12 staked+£1.17

7 winners from 12. Total staked: £12. Returned: £13.17. Profit: +£1.17.

£1 on each value tip (12 bets, £12 total staked)

£1 per value tip 12 bets — £12 total staked
Match Tip Odds Return
Morocco vs CanadaBoth teams NOT to score5/4£2.25
France vs ParaguayOver 2.5 goals4/7LOSS
Norway vs BrazilVinícius Jr anytime7/5LOSS
Mexico vs EnglandKane anytime scorer5/4£2.25
Portugal vs SpainRonaldo anytime scorer7/4LOSS
USA vs BelgiumBoth teams to score7/5£2.40
Argentina vs EgyptOver 2.5 goalsEvens£2.00
Switzerland vs ColombiaOver 2.5 goals2/1LOSS
France vs Morocco QFMbappé anytime scorer8/11£1.73
Spain vs Belgium QFOyarzabal anytime scorer6/5LOSS
Norway vs England QFKane anytime scorer6/4LOSS
Argentina vs Switzerland QFArgentina to win to nil11/10LOSS
5 winners from 12 — £12 staked-£1.37

5 winners from 12. Total staked: £12. Returned: £10.63. Loss: -£1.37.

£1 on each Bet Builder (12 bets, £12 total staked)

£1 per Bet Builder 12 bets — £12 total staked
Match & legs Odds Return
Morocco vs Canada
Morocco win + Under 2.5 + Morocco -1 AH
ca 4/1LOSS
France vs Paraguay
France win + Mbappé scorer + Over 2.5
ca 5/2LOSS
Norway vs Brazil
Brazil win + Vinícius scorer + Under 3.5
ca 13/4LOSS
Mexico vs England
England win + Kane scorer + Under 3.5
ca 13/5LOSS
Portugal vs Spain
Over 2.5 + BTTS + Ronaldo scorer
ca 4/1LOSS
USA vs Belgium
Over 2.5 + BTTS + Pulisic scorer
ca 9/1LOSS
Argentina vs Egypt
Messi scorer + Argentina win + Over 1.5 Arg goals
ca 2/1£3.00
Switzerland vs Colombia
Díaz scorer + Colombia win + Over 1.5 Col goals
ca 5/1LOSS
France vs Morocco QF
Mbappé scorer + France win + Under 2.5
ca 5/2£3.50
Spain vs Belgium QF
Spain win + Oyarzabal scorer + Under 2.5
ca 5/2LOSS
Norway vs England QF
Haaland scorer + BTTS + Over 2.5
ca 5/2LOSS
Argentina vs Switzerland QF
Messi scorer + Argentina win + Under 2.5
ca 4/1LOSS
2 winners from 12 — £12 staked-£5.50
Note: void rule applies only when a named player does not play a single minute. Pulisic (59 min) is a loss, not a void.

2 winners from 12. Total staked: £12. Returned: £6.50. Loss: -£5.50.

Note: if a named player in a Bet Builder leg does not play a single minute, most bookmakers void that leg and recalculate at the remaining legs’ odds. This applies when a player does not feature at all. A player substituted off (like Pulisic in the Belgium match at 59 minutes) is not voided , that leg is simply a loss if the selection was not met.

Accumulator examples

Accumulator examples
7-fold accumulator — all 7 winning main tipsMorocco (8/13) × France (2/7) × England (6/5) × Belgium (6/4) × Messi (4/6) × France QF (11/10) × BTTS Norway (4/5)
£1 stakeReturns:£71.97
4-fold accumulator — four best-odds winning mainsEngland to win (6/5) × Belgium Over 2.5 (6/4) × France QF nil (11/10) × Morocco to win (8/13)
£1 stakeReturns:£20.79
Illustrative examples at published odds. Accumulator prices vary by bookmaker. Always check before placing. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Help is available at begambleaware.org.

These are illustrative examples at published odds. Accumulator prices vary by bookmaker. Always check before placing. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Help is available at begambleaware.org.


For the full Round of 32 recap from the previous week, read last week’s results here.

Gamble responsibly. 18+. Help is available at begambleaware.org.