Betting Tips & Odds: Nations League Matchday 2
27 to 29 September 2026The international break continues with the second matchday of this season's Nations League across all four divisions. Here are our tips for every match, with current odds on 1X2, Over/Under 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score.
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Editor’s Pick: This Week’s Accumulator
Five selections from this week’s matches, for anyone looking to combine multiple favourites into a bigger overall price. This is our own editorial pick, not a guarantee.
- Albania to win (v San Marino) @ 1/24
- Spain to win (v Croatia) @ 3/10
- Germany to win (v Greece) @ 7/22
- Slovakia to win (v Kazakhstan) @ 1/3
- Austria to win (v Kosovo) @ 1/2
Combined odds: roughly 13/5
A £10 stake would return around £36 including the stake. A single losing leg, though, means the whole accumulator is lost.
Odds correct at time of writing. Always check current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.
Last Week’s Tips
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 28/52 won |
| Value | 29/52 won |
| Bet Builder | 14/52 won |
| Correct Score | 2/52 won |
Win Percentage: 35.1% | ROI: -11.67%
A rough week for favourites across the board. Alavés, Omonia, Milan, Celtic, Bologna, Athletic Bilbao, Sporting, Tottenham, Brighton, Leeds and Fulham all dropped points as favourites. Only two correct scores landed exactly: Anderlecht 1-2 Lyon and Monaco 2-1 Lens.
Read the full analysis for 15-21 September here.
Results 21 August-21 September
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 91/145 won |
| Value | 78/145 won |
| Bet Builder | 50/145 won |
| Correct Score | 10/145 won |
Win Percentage: 39.5% | ROI: -15.16%
This figure has now been fully verified match by match across all four periods (21 August-7 September, 8-14 September, Champions League Matchday 1, and 15-21 September).
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This Week’s Accumulator: The Result
Four of five selections came in: Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Juventus and Real Madrid all won as required. Sporting, the final leg, could only draw 2-2 with Arouca, so the accumulator falls one leg short of a full house.
Read the full tip with the accumulator here.
How Did Our Highlight Match Go?
Matchday 1 of the Nations League is still to be played at the time of writing. Read our Matchday 1 tip on England v Spain here, and check back once it’s been played.
Betting Tips Available for
Tuesday 29 September
Czechia v England ★
Thomas Tuchel’s England, fresh off a World Cup semi-final run, travel to Prague to face a Czechia side under brand new head coach Santi Denia. Full analysis, value calculator and verified Bet Builder are in our separate tip. Read the full tip here.
Group A3: Spain v Croatia
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville | Tuesday 29 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Spain 72% | Draw 18% | Croatia 10%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Spain to win | 3/10 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 9/14 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Spain to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Spain 3-0 Croatia | – | 3/5 |
Reigning world champions Spain are overwhelming home favourites in their Nations League opener against Croatia.
Group B1: Scotland v Switzerland
Hampden Park, Glasgow | Tuesday 29 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Scotland 28% | Draw 27% | Switzerland 45%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Switzerland to win | 21/20 | 3/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 8/11 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Switzerland to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Scotland 1-2 Switzerland | – | 2/5 |
Switzerland are away favourites but not by a wide margin against a Scotland side at home.
Group B1: Slovenia v North Macedonia
Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana | Tuesday 29 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Slovenia 55% | Draw 25% | North Macedonia 20%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Slovenia to win | 7/10 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 1/1 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Slovenia to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Slovenia 2-1 North Macedonia | – | 2/5 |
Slovenia are clear home favourites against North Macedonia.
Group C1: San Marino v Albania
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
San Marino Stadium, Serravalle | Tuesday 29 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: San Marino 2% | Draw 8% | Albania 90%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Albania to win | 1/24 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 13/20 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Albania to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | San Marino 0-4 Albania | – | 3/5 |
Albania are about as overwhelming a favourite as this operation ever covers, against a San Marino side ranked bottom of the entire European pyramid.
Group C3: Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
Košická Futbalová Aréna, Košice | Tuesday 29 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Slovakia 70% | Draw 21% | Kazakhstan 9%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Slovakia to win | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 17/21 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Slovakia to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Slovakia 3-0 Kazakhstan | – | 3/5 |
Slovakia are overwhelming home favourites against Kazakhstan.
Group C4: Bulgaria v Estonia
Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv | Tuesday 29 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Bulgaria 60% | Draw 25% | Estonia 15%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Bulgaria to win | 9/17 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 26/19 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Bulgaria to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Bulgaria 2-1 Estonia | – | 2/5 |
Bulgaria are clear home favourites against Estonia.
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Group C4: Luxembourg v Iceland
Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg | Tuesday 29 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Luxembourg 34% | Draw 27% | Iceland 39%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 16/19 | 3/5 |
| Value | Iceland to win | 29/20 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Iceland to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Luxembourg 1-2 Iceland | – | 2/5 |
Iceland are slight away favourites in a genuinely open match.
Group C1: Finland v Belarus
Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki | Tuesday 29 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Finland 51% | Draw 27% | Belarus 22%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Finland to win | 17/20 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Finland to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Finland 2-0 Belarus | – | 3/5 |
Finland are clear home favourites against Belarus.
Group C3: Moldova v Faroe Islands
Stadionul Zimbru, Chișinău | Tuesday 29 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Moldova 40% | Draw 31% | Faroe Islands 30%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 11/10 | 3/5 |
| Value | Moldova to win | 5/4 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Moldova to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Moldova 2-1 Faroe Islands | – | 2/5 |
Moldova are slight home favourites in a genuinely open match.
Monday 28 September
Group A1: Türkiye v Italy
Atatürk Spor Kompleksi, Kocaeli | Monday 28 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Turkey 34% | Draw 28% | Italy 38%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 7/10 | 3/5 |
| Value | Italy to win | 29/20 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Italy to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Türkiye 1-2 Italy | – | 2/5 |
Italy are slight away favourites in what will be Roberto Mancini’s second match back in charge, following his first against Belgium earlier in the window, against a Türkiye side that reached the World Cup for the first time since 2002 this summer.
Group B4: Sweden v Poland
Strawberry Arena, Solna | Monday 28 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Sweden 49% | Draw 25% | Poland 25%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Sweden to win | 10/11 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Sweden to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Sweden 2-1 Poland | – | 2/5 |
Sweden are slight home favourites in the second of two consecutive home matches this window, with two further fixtures (away to Bosnia and Herzegovina, then away to Romania) still to come before this extended international break ends.
Group A1: Belgium v France
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels | Monday 28 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Belgium 26% | Draw 25% | France 49%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | France to win | 12/13 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 11/19 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | France to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Belgium 1-2 France | – | 2/5 |
France are away favourites under new head coach Zinédine Zidane, against a Belgium side also adjusting to life under new coach Mark van Bommel.
Group B2: Northern Ireland v Hungary
Windsor Park, Belfast | Monday 28 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Northern Ireland 30% | Draw 30% | Hungary 40%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 1/1 | 3/5 |
| Value | Hungary to win | 5/4 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Hungary to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Northern Ireland 1-2 Hungary | – | 2/5 |
Hungary are slight away favourites in a genuinely open match.
Group B4: Romania v Bosnia and Herzegovina
National Arena, Bucharest | Monday 28 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Romania 43% | Draw 28% | Bosnia and Herzegovina 29%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Romania to win | 11/10 | 3/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 3/4 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Romania to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Romania 2-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina | – | 2/5 |
Romania are home favourites but not by a wide margin against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Group B2: Georgia v Ukraine
Boris Paichadze National Stadium, Tbilisi | Monday 28 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Georgia 36% | Draw 27% | Ukraine 37%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Value | Ukraine to win | 29/20 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Ukraine to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Georgia 1-2 Ukraine | – | 2/5 |
A genuinely even match where Ukraine have a slight edge as the away side.
Group C2: Armenia v Montenegro
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan | Monday 28 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Armenia 35% | Draw 30% | Montenegro 35%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 23/20 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Both teams to score + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Armenia 2-2 Montenegro | – | 2/5 |
About as even a match as this week offers, with the market unable to separate the two sides at all.
Group C2: Latvia v Cyprus
Skonto Stadium, Riga | Monday 28 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Latvia 37% | Draw 29% | Cyprus 35%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Value | Latvia to win | 3/2 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Latvia to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Latvia 2-1 Cyprus | – | 2/5 |
Latvia are slight home favourites in a genuinely open match.
Sunday 27 September
Group A2: Germany v Greece
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
WWK Arena, Augsburg | Sunday 27 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Germany 68% | Draw 17% | Greece 14%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Germany to win | 7/22 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 12/23 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Germany to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Germany 3-0 Greece | – | 3/5 |
Germany are overwhelming home favourites against Greece.
Group A2: Serbia v Netherlands
Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade | Sunday 27 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Serbia 19% | Draw 23% | Netherlands 58%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Netherlands to win | 11/20 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Netherlands to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Serbia 1-2 Netherlands | – | 2/5 |
Netherlands are clear away favourites against Serbia.
Group A4: Norway v Portugal
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo | Sunday 27 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Norway 35% | Draw 27% | Portugal 38%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Portugal to win | 27/20 | 3/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Portugal to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Norway 1-2 Portugal | – | 2/5 |
Defending Nations League champions Portugal are slight away favourites against Norway.
Group B3: Austria v Kosovo
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna | Sunday 27 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Austria 61% | Draw 22% | Kosovo 17%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Austria to win | 1/2 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 10/13 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Austria to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Austria 3-0 Kosovo | – | 3/5 |
Austria are clear home favourites against Kosovo.
Group B3: Israel v Republic of Ireland
Nagyerdei Stadium, Debrecen | Sunday 27 September, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Israel 36% | Draw 27% | Republic of Ireland 37%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 8/11 | 3/5 |
| Value | Republic of Ireland to win | 29/20 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Republic of Ireland to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Israel 1-2 Republic of Ireland | – | 2/5 |
A genuinely even match where Ireland have a slight edge as the away side.
Group A4: Denmark v Wales
Parken, Copenhagen | Sunday 27 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Denmark 57% | Draw 24% | Wales 20%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Denmark to win | 11/19 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 15/17 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Denmark to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Denmark 2-1 Wales | – | 2/5 |
Denmark are clear home favourites against Wales.
Group D2: Lithuania v Azerbaijan
Dariaus ir Girėno Stadium, Kaunas | Sunday 27 September, 14:00 BST
Market Probability: Lithuania 38% | Draw 29% | Azerbaijan 32%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 1/1 | 3/5 |
| Value | Lithuania to win | 13/10 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Lithuania to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Lithuania 2-1 Azerbaijan | – | 2/5 |
A genuinely open match where Lithuania have a slight home edge.
Group D1: Gibraltar v Andorra
Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar | Sunday 27 September, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Gibraltar 29% | Draw 31% | Andorra 39%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 6/5 | 3/5 |
| Value | Andorra to win | 5/4 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Andorra to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Gibraltar 1-2 Andorra | – | 2/5 |
Andorra are slight away favourites between two of the competition’s lowest-ranked sides.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is there no club football again this week?
This is still the same international break as Matchday 1, with the second round of Nations League fixtures taking priority across the continent instead of domestic leagues and cups.
Which are the clearest favourites of the week?
Albania (1/24 against San Marino), Spain (3/10 against Croatia) and Germany (7/22 against Greece) have the shortest prices of the week.
Which match is the most even?
Armenia v Montenegro is the most even match of the week, with the market completely unable to separate the two sides.
Where can I watch the matches in the UK?
TV rights vary by fixture and are updated regularly. Always check your streaming provider for the latest broadcast details ahead of each match.
What’s the best goals bet of the week?
San Marino v Albania (Over 2.5 at roughly 13/20), Spain v Croatia and Norway v Portugal’s Both Teams To Score are among the strongest goals markets of the week.
For more betting tips, visit our betting tips hub, or check our Nations League Matchday 1 roundup here for how last week’s fixtures played out.
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