Betting Tips & Odds 9-12 October: All The Big Leagues

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Editor’s Pick: This Week’s Accumulator

Last Week’s Tips

Win Percentage: 40.4% | ROI: -5.42%

Matchdays 3 and 4 produced eight exact correct scores between them, including Croatia 1-2 Spain, Portugal 2-1 Norway and Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia. Matchday 4 was clearly the better of the two: the main and value tips each landed in 15 of 26 matches, and in ten matches the main tip, value tip and Bet Builder all came in. Goalless draws such as Estonia 0-0 Iceland, Montenegro 0-0 Armenia and Greece 0-0 Germany dragged the numbers down.

Read our full Matchday 3 tips and Matchday 4 tips.

Results 21 August-6 October

Win Percentage: 39.6% | ROI: -11.48%

This Week’s Accumulator: The Result

Matchday 3: three of five selections came in, but Malta (1-1 with Gibraltar) and Azerbaijan (0-0 with Liechtenstein) sank the accumulator. Matchday 4 made up for it: Switzerland, Albania, Spain, France and the Netherlands all won, and the accumulator landed at combined odds of about 16/5. Read the Matchday 4 accumulator here.

Monday 12 October

Premier League: Coventry City v Newcastle United

Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry | Monday 12 October, 20:00 BST

Market Probability: Coventry City 30% | Draw 26% | Newcastle United 45%

Newcastle United are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Coventry City. After five rounds, Newcastle United are 9th in the Premier League on 8 points, with Coventry City 18th on 3. League games involving Coventry City have averaged 2.2 goals, and those involving Newcastle United 3.6. That points us to Newcastle United or the draw (double chance) as the main tip, with Over 2.5 goals as our value pick.

Sunday 11 October

2. Bundesliga: Hertha BSC v Greuther Fürth

Olympiastadion, Berlin | Sunday 11 October, 12:30 BST

Market Probability: Hertha BSC 60% | Draw 21% | Greuther Fürth 20%

Hertha BSC are clear home favourites against Greuther Fürth. Hertha BSC lead the 2. Bundesliga on 18 points after six rounds, while Greuther Fürth are 12th on 6. League games involving Hertha BSC have averaged 4.0 goals, and those involving Greuther Fürth 3.3. Our main tip is a Hertha BSC win, and Over 2.5 goals is the value angle.

Allsvenskan: Hammarby v Djurgården

3Arena, Stockholm | Sunday 11 October, 13:00 BST

Market Probability: Hammarby 54% | Draw 23% | Djurgården 23%

Hammarby are clear home favourites against Djurgården. After 22 rounds, Hammarby are 2nd in Allsvenskan on 43 points, with Djurgården 3rd on 41. Hammarby have scored 49 goals in 22 league games, and Djurgården 47 in 22. We go with both teams to score as the main tip and a Hammarby win for value.

Premier League: Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest

Selhurst Park, London | Sunday 11 October, 14:00 BST

Market Probability: Crystal Palace 38% | Draw 30% | Nottingham Forest 32%

A genuinely even match, with little to separate the two sides. Nottingham Forest are 13th in the Premier League on 5 points after five rounds, while Crystal Palace are 15th on 4. Nottingham Forest have conceded only 5 goals in five league games, and Crystal Palace have scored 6 in five. The two sides have drawn 3 of their 10 league games between them this season. That points us to Under 2.5 goals as the main tip, with the draw as our value pick.

Premier League: Hull City v Everton

MKM Stadium, Hull | Sunday 11 October, 14:00 BST

Market Probability: Hull City 27% | Draw 28% | Everton 45%

Everton are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Hull City. After five rounds, Everton are 7th in the Premier League on 9 points, with Hull City 8th on 8. Everton have conceded only 3 goals in five league games, and Hull City have scored 6 in five. Our main tip is Everton or the draw (double chance), and Under 2.5 goals is the value angle.

Bundesliga: Freiburg v Schalke

Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg | Sunday 11 October, 16:30 BST

Market Probability: Freiburg 59% | Draw 23% | Schalke 18%

Freiburg are clear home favourites against Schalke. Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga on 10 points after four rounds, while Schalke are 11th on 5. League games involving Freiburg have averaged 3.8 goals, and those involving Schalke 1.8. We go with a Freiburg win as the main tip and Over 2.5 goals for value.

Liverpool v Manchester City ★

Unbeaten Liverpool host leaders Manchester City, who have won all five league games. Full analysis, value calculator, Bet Builder and the Premier League table are in our separate tip. Read the full tip here.

Superliga: Midtjylland v FC Copenhagen

MCH Arena, Herning | Sunday 11 October, 17:00 BST

Market Probability: Midtjylland 40% | Draw 26% | FC Copenhagen 34%

A genuinely even match, with little to separate the two sides. FC Copenhagen lead the Danish Superliga on 24 points after nine rounds, while Midtjylland are 2nd on 19. FC Copenhagen have scored 23 goals in nine league games, the most in the Danish Superliga, and Midtjylland 17 in nine. Our main tip is both teams to score, and a Midtjylland win is the value angle.

La Liga: Real Betis v Osasuna

Estadio de La Cartuja, Seville | Sunday 11 October, 17:30 BST

Market Probability: Real Betis 57% | Draw 23% | Osasuna 20%

Real Betis are clear home favourites against Osasuna. After seven rounds, Real Betis are 3rd in La Liga on 16 points, with Osasuna 13th on 8. Real Betis have scored 9 goals in seven league games, and Osasuna 6 in seven. We go with a Real Betis win as the main tip and both teams to score for value.

Serie A: Cagliari v Juventus

Unipol Domus, Cagliari | Sunday 11 October, 19:45 BST

Market Probability: Cagliari 15% | Draw 24% | Juventus 60%

Juventus are clear away favourites against Cagliari. Cagliari are 4th in Serie A on 12 points after five rounds, while Juventus are 7th on 10. Cagliari have conceded only 2 goals in five league games, the fewest in Serie A, and Juventus have scored 8 in five. That points us to a Juventus win as the main tip, with Under 2.5 goals as our value pick.

Saturday 10 October

Premier League: Arsenal v Leeds United

Note: our accumulator pick this week.

Emirates Stadium, London | Saturday 10 October, 12:30 BST

Market Probability: Arsenal 68% | Draw 19% | Leeds United 13%

Arsenal are clear home favourites against Leeds United. After five rounds, Arsenal are 2nd in the Premier League on 12 points, with Leeds United 5th on 9. Leeds United have conceded only 3 goals in five league games, and Arsenal have scored 8 in five. Our main tip is an Arsenal win, and Both Teams To Score: No is the value angle.

Serie B: Empoli v Palermo

Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli | Saturday 10 October, 14:00 BST

Market Probability: Empoli 24% | Draw 27% | Palermo 48%

Palermo are clear away favourites against Empoli. After five rounds, Palermo lead Serie B on 13 points, with Empoli 13th on 6. Palermo have scored 10 goals in five league games, and Empoli 4 in five. We go with Palermo or the draw (double chance) as the main tip and both teams to score for value.

Allsvenskan: AIK v Brommapojkarna

Strawberry Arena, Solna | Saturday 10 October, 14:00 BST

Market Probability: AIK 48% | Draw 25% | Brommapojkarna 27%

AIK are clear home favourites against Brommapojkarna. After 22 rounds, AIK are 8th in Allsvenskan on 33 points, with Brommapojkarna 11th on 27. AIK have scored 31 goals in 22 league games, and Brommapojkarna 30 in 22. That points us to both teams to score as the main tip, with an AIK win as our value pick.

Bundesliga: Augsburg v Bayern Munich

WWK Arena, Augsburg | Saturday 10 October, 14:30 BST

Market Probability: Augsburg 10% | Draw 12% | Bayern Munich 78%

Bayern Munich are clear away favourites against Augsburg. After four rounds, Bayern Munich are 2nd in the Bundesliga on 10 points, with Augsburg 4th on 7. Bayern Munich have scored 14 goals in four league games, the most in the Bundesliga, and Augsburg 11 in four. Our main tip is a Bayern Munich win, and both teams to score is the value angle.

Premier League: Chelsea v Bournemouth

Stamford Bridge, London | Saturday 10 October, 15:00 BST

Market Probability: Chelsea 52% | Draw 24% | Bournemouth 24%

Chelsea are clear home favourites against Bournemouth. After five rounds, Chelsea are 10th in the Premier League on 7 points, with Bournemouth 17th on 3. League games involving Chelsea have averaged 4.4 goals, and those involving Bournemouth 2.8. We go with Chelsea or the draw (double chance) as the main tip and Over 2.5 goals for value.

Premier League: Aston Villa v Brentford

Villa Park, Birmingham | Saturday 10 October, 15:00 BST

Market Probability: Aston Villa 38% | Draw 28% | Brentford 35%

A genuinely even match, with little to separate the two sides. Brentford are 4th in the Premier League on 9 points after five rounds, while Aston Villa are 16th on 4. Brentford have scored 10 goals in five league games, and Aston Villa 4 in five. The two sides have drawn 4 of their 10 league games between them this season. That points us to both teams to score as the main tip, with the draw as our value pick.

Premier League: Ipswich Town v Fulham

Portman Road, Ipswich | Saturday 10 October, 15:00 BST

Market Probability: Ipswich Town 32% | Draw 28% | Fulham 40%

Fulham are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Ipswich Town. After five rounds, Ipswich Town are 11th in the Premier League on 6 points, with Fulham 19th on 2. Ipswich Town have scored 7 goals in five league games, and Fulham 5 in five. Our main tip is Fulham or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.

Premier League: Sunderland v Brighton

Stadium of Light, Sunderland | Saturday 10 October, 15:00 BST

Market Probability: Sunderland 31% | Draw 28% | Brighton 41%

Brighton are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Sunderland. After five rounds, Brighton are 3rd in the Premier League on 10 points, with Sunderland 14th on 4. Brighton have scored 16 goals in five league games, the most in the Premier League, and Sunderland 6 in five. The two sides have drawn 2 of their 10 league games between them this season. We go with both teams to score as the main tip and the draw for value.

Odds correct at time of writing. Always check current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

La Liga: Alavés v Atlético Madrid

Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz | Saturday 10 October, 15:15 BST

Market Probability: Alavés 25% | Draw 27% | Atlético Madrid 47%

Atlético Madrid are clear away favourites against Alavés. After seven rounds, Atlético Madrid are 2nd in La Liga on 16 points, with Alavés 6th on 11. League games involving Alavés have averaged 2.4 goals, and those involving Atlético Madrid 3.3. That points us to Over 2.5 goals as the main tip, with Atlético Madrid draw no bet (stake back on a draw) as our value pick.

Superettan: Norrby v Öster

Borås Arena, Borås | Saturday 10 October, 16:00 BST

Market Probability: Norrby 44% | Draw 25% | Öster 31%

Norrby are home favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Öster. Öster are 8th in Superettan on 36 points after 25 rounds, while Norrby are 13th on 24. League games involving Norrby have averaged 2.5 goals, and those involving Öster 3.0. With five rounds left, Norrby are in the bottom four and need points to avoid relegation, while Öster sit in mid-table, 12 points clear of them. Our main tip is Over 2.5 goals, and a Norrby win is the value angle.

Ligue 1: Lille v Le Havre

Note: our accumulator pick this week.

Decathlon Arena, Lille | Saturday 10 October, 16:15 BST

Market Probability: Lille 67% | Draw 20% | Le Havre 13%

Lille are clear home favourites against Le Havre. After five rounds, Lille are 4th in Ligue 1 on 10 points, with Le Havre bottom of the table on 2. Lille have conceded only 4 goals in five league games, and Le Havre have scored 4 in five. We go with a Lille win as the main tip and Under 2.5 goals for value.

Serie A: Inter v Parma

San Siro, Milan | Saturday 10 October, 17:00 BST

Market Probability: Inter 85% | Draw 10% | Parma 5%

Inter are clear home favourites against Parma. Inter are 2nd in Serie A on 13 points after five rounds, while Parma are 15th on 4. League games involving Inter have averaged 4.6 goals, and those involving Parma 2.2. That points us to an Inter win as the main tip, with Over 2.5 goals as our value pick.

Premier League: Manchester United v Tottenham

Old Trafford, Manchester | Saturday 10 October, 17:30 BST

Market Probability: Manchester United 58% | Draw 23% | Tottenham 19%

Manchester United are clear home favourites against Tottenham. After five rounds, Manchester United are 12th in the Premier League on 5 points, with Tottenham bottom of the table on 2. League games involving Manchester United have averaged 3.2 goals, and those involving Tottenham 2.0. Our main tip is a Manchester United win, and Over 2.5 goals is the value angle.

La Liga: Barcelona v Getafe

Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona | Saturday 10 October, 17:30 BST

Market Probability: Barcelona 90% | Draw 7% | Getafe 4%

Barcelona are clear home favourites against Getafe. After seven rounds, Barcelona lead La Liga on 21 points, with Getafe 11th on 8. Barcelona have conceded only 7 goals in seven league games, and Getafe have scored 4 in seven. We go with a Barcelona win as the main tip and Both Teams To Score: No for value.

Bundesliga: RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig | Saturday 10 October, 17:30 BST

Market Probability: RB Leipzig 63% | Draw 19% | Eintracht Frankfurt 17%

RB Leipzig are clear home favourites against Eintracht Frankfurt. After four rounds, RB Leipzig are 9th in the Bundesliga on 6 points, with Eintracht Frankfurt 10th on 5. RB Leipzig have scored 9 goals in four league games, and Eintracht Frankfurt 9 in four. That points us to a RB Leipzig win as the main tip, with both teams to score as our value pick.

Eredivisie: Feyenoord v AZ

De Kuip, Rotterdam | Saturday 10 October, 17:45 BST

Market Probability: Feyenoord 52% | Draw 23% | AZ 26%

Feyenoord are clear home favourites against AZ. After seven rounds, AZ lead the Eredivisie on 19 points, with Feyenoord 2nd on 17. Feyenoord have scored 25 goals in seven league games, the most in the Eredivisie, and AZ 18 in seven. Our main tip is Feyenoord or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.

Ligue 1: PSG v Le Mans

Parc des Princes, Paris | Saturday 10 October, 19:45 BST

Market Probability: PSG 86% | Draw 9% | Le Mans 6%

PSG are clear home favourites against Le Mans. After five rounds, PSG are 6th in Ligue 1 on 8 points, with Le Mans 9th on 6. Le Mans have scored 9 goals in five league games, and PSG 8 in five. We go with a PSG win as the main tip and both teams to score for value.

Serie A: Napoli v Frosinone

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples | Saturday 10 October, 19:45 BST

Market Probability: Napoli 65% | Draw 20% | Frosinone 15%

Napoli are clear home favourites against Frosinone. Frosinone are 6th in Serie A on 10 points after five rounds, while Napoli are 9th on 7. League games involving Napoli have averaged 2.6 goals, and those involving Frosinone 2.6. That points us to a Napoli win as the main tip, with Over 2.5 goals as our value pick.

La Liga: Real Madrid v Villarreal

Note: our accumulator pick this week.

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid | Saturday 10 October, 20:00 BST

Market Probability: Real Madrid 75% | Draw 14% | Villarreal 10%

Real Madrid are clear home favourites against Villarreal. After seven rounds, Real Madrid are 4th in La Liga on 15 points, with Villarreal 9th on 8. Real Madrid have scored 18 goals in seven league games, and Villarreal 13 in seven. Our main tip is a Real Madrid win, and both teams to score is the value angle.

Eredivisie: Ajax v NEC

Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam | Saturday 10 October, 20:00 BST

Market Probability: Ajax 73% | Draw 17% | NEC 10%

Ajax are clear home favourites against NEC. Ajax are 5th in the Eredivisie on 14 points after seven rounds, while NEC are 11th on 8. League games involving Ajax have averaged 4.3 goals, and those involving NEC 3.6. We go with an Ajax win as the main tip and Over 2.5 goals for value.

Liga Portugal: Académico de Viseu v Estoril

Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu | Saturday 10 October, 20:30 BST

Market Probability: Académico de Viseu 41% | Draw 28% | Estoril 31%

Académico de Viseu are home favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Estoril. After seven rounds, Académico de Viseu are 7th in Liga Portugal on 11 points, with Estoril bottom of the table on 2. Académico de Viseu have conceded only 9 goals in seven league games, and Estoril have scored 3 in seven. The two sides have drawn 4 of their 14 league games between them this season. That points us to Under 2.5 goals as the main tip, with the draw as our value pick.

Friday 9 October

Superliga: Nordsjælland v OB

Right to Dream Park, Farum | Friday 9 October, 18:00 BST

Market Probability: Nordsjælland 66% | Draw 20% | OB 15%

Nordsjælland are clear home favourites against OB. Nordsjælland are 4th in the Danish Superliga on 17 points after nine rounds, while OB are 9th on 9. League games involving Nordsjælland have averaged 2.7 goals, and those involving OB 2.4. Our main tip is a Nordsjælland win, and Over 2.5 goals is the value angle.

Eredivisie: PSV v Heerenveen

Note: our accumulator pick this week.

Philips Stadion, Eindhoven | Friday 9 October, 19:00 BST

Market Probability: PSV 77% | Draw 14% | Heerenveen 9%

PSV are clear home favourites against Heerenveen. After seven rounds, PSV are 3rd in the Eredivisie on 16 points, with Heerenveen 10th on 9. PSV have scored 24 goals in seven league games, and Heerenveen 11 in seven. We go with a PSV win as the main tip and both teams to score for value.

Bundesliga: Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen

Note: our accumulator pick this week.

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund | Friday 9 October, 19:30 BST

Market Probability: Borussia Dortmund 70% | Draw 17% | Werder Bremen 13%

Borussia Dortmund are clear home favourites against Werder Bremen. Borussia Dortmund lead the Bundesliga on 12 points after four rounds, while Werder Bremen are 8th on 7. League games involving Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.8 goals, and those involving Werder Bremen 4.0. That points us to a Borussia Dortmund win as the main tip, with Over 2.5 goals as our value pick.

Ligue 1: Lens v Lyon

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens | Friday 9 October, 19:45 BST

Market Probability: Lens 45% | Draw 26% | Lyon 29%

Lens are home favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Lyon. After five rounds, Lyon are 2nd in Ligue 1 on 11 points, with Lens 15th on 4. League games involving Lens have averaged 3.6 goals, and those involving Lyon 2.4. Our main tip is Over 2.5 goals, and a Lens win is the value angle.

Odds correct at time of writing. Always check current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Football on TV, 9-12 October (UK)

Friday 9 October

• 19:30 Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen (Bundesliga): BBC iPlayer and BBC Sport website
• 19:45 Lens v Lyon (Ligue 1): Ligue 1+

Saturday 10 October

• 12:30 Arsenal v Leeds United (Premier League): TNT Sports
• 15:15 Alavés v Atlético Madrid (La Liga): LALIGATV
• 17:00 Inter v Parma (Serie A): DAZN (joins in progress)
• 17:30 Barcelona v Getafe (La Liga): Premier Sports
• 17:30 Manchester United v Tottenham (Premier League): Sky Sports
• 17:30 RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga): Sky Sports
• 19:45 Napoli v Frosinone (Serie A): DAZN
• 19:45 PSG v Le Mans (Ligue 1): Ligue 1+
• 20:00 Real Madrid v Villarreal (La Liga): Disney+

Sunday 11 October

• 12:30 Hertha BSC v Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga): Bundesliga app and YouTube
• 14:00 Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest (Premier League): Sky Sports
• 14:00 Hull City v Everton (Premier League): Sky Sports
• 16:30 Freiburg v Schalke (Bundesliga): Amazon Prime Video (pay-per-view)
• 16:30 Liverpool v Manchester City (Premier League): Sky Sports
• 17:30 Real Betis v Osasuna (La Liga): Premier Sports
• 19:45 Cagliari v Juventus (Serie A): TNT Sports and DAZN

Monday 12 October

• 20:00 Coventry City v Newcastle United (Premier League): Sky Sports

Times are UK time. Only matches with a confirmed live broadcaster in the UK are listed. Aston Villa v Brentford, Chelsea v Bournemouth, Ipswich Town v Fulham and Sunderland v Brighton kick off at 15:00 on Saturday and cannot be shown live in the UK under the Saturday afternoon blackout.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who are the clearest favourites this week?

Barcelona (1/16 v Getafe) and Inter (1/8 v Parma) are the shortest prices of the week.

Which match is the most even?

Liverpool v Manchester City is the most even match of the week, with the market barely able to separate the two sides.

Where can I watch the matches in the UK?

Our Football on TV section above lists every match in this roundup with a confirmed live broadcaster in the UK, grouped by day with UK kick-off times. Saturday 15:00 kick-offs are not shown live in the UK.

Which is the biggest Premier League game this week?

Liverpool v Manchester City at Anfield on Sunday, with leaders City arriving on a run of five league wins from five.

Why are there no Champions League matches in this roundup?

Club football resumes after the international break this weekend, and the second round of the Champions League league phase follows on 13 and 14 October.

For more betting tips, visit our betting tips hub, or catch up on our Nations League Matchday 4 roundup.

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