Betting Tips & Odds: Nations League Matchday 3
1 to 3 October 2026The international break continues with the third matchday of this season's Nations League across all four divisions. Here are our tips for every match, with current odds on 1X2, Over/Under goals and Both Teams To Score.
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Editor’s Pick: This Week’s Accumulator
Five selections from this week’s matches, for anyone looking to combine multiple favourites into a bigger overall price. This is our own editorial pick, not a guarantee.
- Belarus to win (v San Marino) @ 1/14
- Spain to win (v Czechia) @ 1/7
- Germany to win (v Serbia) @ 1/5
- Azerbaijan to win (v Liechtenstein) @ 1/4
- Malta to win (v Gibraltar) @ 5/14
Combined odds: roughly 6/4
A £10 stake would return around £25 including the stake. A single losing leg, though, means the whole accumulator is lost.
Odds correct at time of writing. Always check current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.
Last Week’s Tips
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 17/26 won |
| Value | 11/26 won |
| Bet Builder | 9/26 won |
| Correct Score | 5/26 won |
Win Percentage: 40.4% | ROI: -10.60%
Five correct scores landed exactly: Andorra 1-2 Malta, Sweden 2-1 Romania, Faroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan, Czechia 1-2 Croatia and North Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland.
Read the full analysis for Matchday 1 here.
Results 21 August-26 September
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 108/171 won |
| Value | 89/171 won |
| Bet Builder | 59/171 won |
| Correct Score | 15/171 won |
Win Percentage: 39.6% | ROI: -14.46%
This Week’s Accumulator: The Result
Four of five selections came in: Finland, Portugal, Slovakia and Austria all won as required. Iceland, the fourth leg, could only draw 1-1 with Estonia, so the accumulator falls one leg short of a full house.
Read the full tip with the accumulator here.
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How Did Our Highlight Match Go?
England v Spain: a mixed week. The main tip (Both Teams To Score) and the value tip (Spain to win) both landed as Spain won 2-3 at Wembley, but the correct score missed, we had it at 1-2. Read the full tip here.
Betting Tips Available for
Saturday 3 October
Croatia v England ★
Slaven Bilić takes charge of Croatia for the first time in his second spell, against the same opponent he famously beat with Croatia back in 2007. Full analysis, value calculator and verified Bet Builder are in our separate tip. Read the full tip here.
Group A3: Spain v Czechia
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo | Saturday 3 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Spain 86% | Draw 10% | Czechia 4%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Spain to win | 1/7 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 3 goals | 1/1 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Spain to win + Over 3 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Spain 4-0 Czechia | – | 3/5 |
Reigning world champions Spain are overwhelming home favourites against a Czechia side still finding its feet under Santi Denia.
Group B1: North Macedonia v Scotland
National Arena Todor Proeski, Skopje | Saturday 3 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: North Macedonia 23% | Draw 27% | Scotland 50%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Scotland to win | 1/1 | 3/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 21/20 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Scotland to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | North Macedonia 1-2 Scotland | – | 2/5 |
Scotland are clear away favourites against North Macedonia.
Group C1: Belarus v San Marino
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest (neutral venue) | Saturday 3 October, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Belarus 90% | Draw 8% | San Marino 3%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Belarus to win | 1/14 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | – | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Belarus to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Belarus 4-0 San Marino | – | 3/5 |
Belarus are overwhelming favourites against San Marino, ranked bottom of the entire European pyramid. Belarus play their home fixtures at a neutral venue in Hungary.
Group C4: Iceland v Bulgaria
Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík | Saturday 3 October, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Iceland 36% | Draw 29% | Bulgaria 35%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Iceland to win | 31/20 | 3/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Iceland to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Iceland 2-1 Bulgaria | – | 2/5 |
A genuinely even match with barely anything between the two sides.
Group C1: Finland v Albania
Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki | Saturday 3 October, 14:00 BST
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Finland to win | – | 3/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Finland to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Finland 2-1 Albania | – | 2/5 |
Finland have been the tournament’s top scorers so far, with Joel Pohjanpalo among the joint leading scorers in the competition.
Group C4: Estonia v Luxembourg
A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn | Saturday 3 October, 17:00 BST
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Value | Luxembourg to win | – | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Luxembourg to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Estonia 1-2 Luxembourg | – | 2/5 |
Luxembourg opened with a 2-1 away win in Bulgaria on Matchday 1.
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Group B1: Switzerland v Slovenia
Swissporarena, Lucerne | Saturday 3 October, 19:45 BST
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Switzerland to win | – | 3/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Switzerland to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia | – | 2/5 |
Switzerland were the more eye-catching side in Matchday 1, beating North Macedonia 3-0 with a Zeki Amdouni double.
Friday 2 October
Group A1: France v Italy
Stade de France, Saint-Denis | Friday 2 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: France 66% | Draw 20% | Italy 13%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | France to win | 8/17 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | France to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | France 2-1 Italy | – | 2/5 |
Zinédine Zidane makes his home managerial debut without the injured Kylian Mbappé, against an Italy side that bounced back from its opening defeat with a 4-1 win in Türkiye.
Group B4: Bosnia and Herzegovina v Sweden
Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica | Friday 2 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Bosnia and Herzegovina 27% | Draw 24% | Sweden 49%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 13/18 | 3/5 |
| Value | Sweden to win | 1/1 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Sweden to win + Both teams to score | 11/4 | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-2 Sweden | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Edin Džeko plays his final international match as Bosnia and Herzegovina host a Sweden side missing both Alexander Isak and Emil Holm through injury.
Group A1: Belgium v Türkiye
Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liège | Friday 2 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Belgium 64% | Draw 20% | Türkiye 16%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Belgium to win | 12/23 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 1/2 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Belgium to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Belgium 2-1 Türkiye | – | 2/5 |
Belgium are clear home favourites against a Türkiye side still without a point after home defeats to France and Italy.
Group B2: Hungary v Georgia
Puskás Aréna, Budapest | Friday 2 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Hungary 52% | Draw 25% | Georgia 23%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Hungary to win | 15/17 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 3/4 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Hungary to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Hungary 2-1 Georgia | – | 2/5 |
Hungary are clear home favourites against Georgia.
Group B4: Poland v Romania
PGE Narodowy, Warsaw | Friday 2 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Poland 64% | Draw 21% | Romania 15%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Poland to win | 9/17 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Poland to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Poland 2-1 Romania | – | 2/5 |
Poland are clear home favourites against Romania.
Group C3: Faroe Islands v Slovakia
Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn | Friday 2 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Faroe Islands 14% | Draw 25% | Slovakia 61%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Slovakia to win | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Slovakia to win + Over 2 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Faroe Islands 1-2 Slovakia | – | 2/5 |
Slovakia are clear away favourites against the Faroe Islands.
Group B2: Ukraine v Northern Ireland
Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava (neutral venue) | Friday 2 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Ukraine 45% | Draw 28% | Northern Ireland 26%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Ukraine to win | 23/20 | 3/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 23/25 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Ukraine to win + Over 2 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Ukraine 2-1 Northern Ireland | – | 2/5 |
Ukraine are favourites at their neutral venue in Slovakia against Northern Ireland.
Group C2: Latvia v Montenegro
Skonto Stadions, Riga | Friday 2 October, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Latvia 19% | Draw 29% | Montenegro 52%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Montenegro to win | 6/7 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 6/5 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Montenegro to win + Over 2 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Latvia 1-2 Montenegro | – | 2/5 |
Montenegro are clear away favourites against Latvia.
Group C2: Cyprus v Armenia
GSP Stadium, Nicosia | Friday 2 October, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Cyprus 42% | Draw 29% | Armenia 30%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Cyprus to win | 27/20 | 3/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Cyprus to win + Over 2 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Cyprus 2-1 Armenia | – | 2/5 |
Cyprus are slight home favourites against Armenia.
Group C3: Kazakhstan v Moldova
Astana Arena, Astana | Friday 2 October, 15:00 BST
Market Probability: Kazakhstan 55% | Draw 27% | Moldova 18%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Kazakhstan to win | 10/13 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 11/10 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Kazakhstan to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Kazakhstan 2-1 Moldova | – | 2/5 |
Kazakhstan are clear home favourites against Moldova.
Thursday 1 October
Group A2: Germany v Serbia
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
Allianz Arena, Munich | Thursday 1 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Germany 81% | Draw 12% | Serbia 6%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Germany to win | 1/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 1/1 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Germany to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Germany 3-1 Serbia | – | 3/5 |
Jürgen Klopp’s Germany are overwhelming home favourites in Munich against Serbia.
Group D1: Malta v Gibraltar
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
National Stadium, Ta’ Qali | Thursday 1 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Malta 72% | Draw 20% | Gibraltar 8%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Malta to win | 5/14 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 21/20 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Malta to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Malta 3-0 Gibraltar | – | 3/5 |
Malta are clear home favourites against Gibraltar.
Group A4: Denmark v Portugal
Parken, Copenhagen | Thursday 1 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Denmark 27% | Draw 26% | Portugal 47%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Portugal to win | 14/13 | 3/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 goals | 15/19 | 4/5 |
| Bet Builder | Portugal to win + Over 2.5 goals | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Denmark 1-2 Portugal | – | 2/5 |
Reigning two-time Nations League champions Portugal, with Cristiano Ronaldo still leading the line under new head coach Jorge Jesus, are away favourites against Denmark.
Group A2: Greece v Netherlands
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki | Thursday 1 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Greece 30% | Draw 27% | Netherlands 44%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Netherlands to win | 16/13 | 3/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 13/18 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Netherlands to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Greece 1-2 Netherlands | – | 2/5 |
Xavi’s Netherlands are away favourites against Greece.
Group B3: Republic of Ireland v Austria
Aviva Stadium, Dublin | Thursday 1 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Republic of Ireland 27% | Draw 28% | Austria 45%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Austria to win | 25/21 | 3/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 23/24 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Austria to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Republic of Ireland 1-2 Austria | – | 2/5 |
Austria are away favourites but not by a wide margin against the Republic of Ireland.
Group B3: Israel v Kosovo
Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen (neutral venue) | Thursday 1 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Israel 32% | Draw 29% | Kosovo 39%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Both teams to score | 9/11 | 3/5 |
| Value | Kosovo to win | 19/13 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Kosovo to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Israel 1-2 Kosovo | – | 2/5 |
A genuinely open match where Kosovo have a slight edge.
Group A4: Wales v Norway
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff | Thursday 1 October, 19:45 BST
Market Probability: Wales 17% | Draw 22% | Norway 61%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Norway to win | 13/22 | 4/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 16/21 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Norway to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Wales 1-2 Norway | – | 2/5 |
Erling Haaland, tied for the tournament’s top scorer, leads Norway as clear away favourites against Wales.
Group D2: Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Note: our accumulator pick this week.
Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium, Baku | Thursday 1 October, 17:00 BST
Market Probability: Azerbaijan 78% | Draw 16% | Liechtenstein 6%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Azerbaijan to win | 1/4 | 5/5 |
| Value | Both teams to score | 23/18 | 3/5 |
| Bet Builder | Azerbaijan to win + Both teams to score | – | 3/5 |
| Correct Score | Azerbaijan 3-1 Liechtenstein | – | 3/5 |
Azerbaijan are clear home favourites against Liechtenstein.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is there no club football again this week?
This is still the same extended international break, with the third round of Nations League fixtures taking priority across the continent.
Which are the clearest favourites of the week?
Belarus (1/14 against San Marino), Spain (1/7 against Czechia) and Germany (1/5 against Serbia) have the shortest prices of the week.
Which match is the most even?
Iceland v Bulgaria is the most even match of the week, with barely anything to separate the two sides.
Where can I watch the matches in the UK?
TV rights vary by fixture and are updated regularly. Always check your streaming provider for the latest broadcast details ahead of each match.
What’s the best goals bet of the week?
Spain v Czechia (Over 3 at 1/1), Malta v Gibraltar and Germany v Serbia’s Both Teams To Score are among the strongest goals markets of the week.
For more betting tips, visit our betting tips hub, or check our Nations League Matchday 1 roundup here for how the opening round played out.
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