Chelsea v Tottenham: Betting Tips & Odds
Premier League, Matchweek 8 | Stamford Bridge, London | Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:30 BST
Chelsea have won the last six Premier League meetings with Tottenham and go into the derby fourth after a 2-0 win at Everton. Spurs finally won on Monday, 3-1 against Coventry, but they have scored six goals in seven league games and are 16th. Our main tip is Chelsea to win at 7/10, our value tip is both teams to score: No at 13/10, and we are going for 2-0.
Our Tips
| Tip | Market | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | Chelsea to win | 7/10 | bet365 |
| Value Tip | Both teams to score: No | 13/10 | BetMGM |
| Correct Score | Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham | 9/1 | BoyleSports |
| First Half | Chelsea to lead at half-time | 5/4 | BoyleSports |
| Longer Shot | Chelsea -1 (3-way handicap) | 15/8 | BoyleSports |
Odds are from the bookmakers named in the table and were correct at time of writing. The 1X2 table and value calculator use BetMGM’s prices. Always check current odds before placing a bet.
Penders in Goal as Spurs Bring Their First Win to the Bridge
Pedro Neto scored twice at Everton, seconds after the restart and again in the 90th minute, but Chelsea’s 2-0 win came at a cost: Emiliano Martínez broke his jaw in a collision with Jarrad Branthwaite and has had surgery, so 21-year-old Mike Penders is set to start in goal. Tottenham head to Stamford Bridge with Roberto De Zerbi’s first league win behind them. James Maddison scored his first Premier League goal in 610 days, Omar Marmoush got his first for the club and Ben Davies sealed it in the 96th minute, while Dejan Kulusevski came off the bench for his first appearance since May 2025.
1X2 and Main Markets
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chelsea | 8/11 |
| Draw | 3/1 |
| Tottenham | 3/1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 7/5 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 1/2 |
| Both teams to score: No | 13/10 |
Odds at BetMGM. Chelsea are favourites at 8/11, with the draw and Tottenham both at 3/1. The goal markets lean towards an open game: Over 2.5 goals is 1/2 and both teams to score is 1/2.
Value Calculator
| Outcome | Odds | Impl. / Ours | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 8/11 | 57.9% / 57% | -0.9 |
| Draw | 3/1 | 25.0% / 22% | -3.0 |
| Tottenham | 3/1 | 25.0% / 21% | -4.0 |
| BTTS: No VALUE | 13/10 | 43.5% / 46% | +2.5 |
▬ Impl. = the bookmaker’s implied probability ▬ Ours = our estimate
Market probability: Chelsea 54% | Draw 23% | Tottenham 23% (calculated from BetMGM’s 1X2 odds, with the bookmaker’s margin removed).
The margin removal is pure arithmetic on the three prices; our estimate is an editorial judgement based on form and statistics, not a proprietary model. We give both teams to score: No 46 per cent against the 43.5 per cent implied by 13/10. That is lower than before Monday: Spurs scored three against Coventry and have now scored in each of their last three league games, so we have cut our estimate, and the edge that is left is small. Chelsea to win we rate at 57 per cent, in line with the market, which is why it is our main tip rather than a value pick.
Our Tips in Detail
Main Tip: Chelsea to win @ 7/10
- Chelsea have won the last six league meetings with Tottenham
- Chelsea are unbeaten at home in the league this season, with 11 goals in three games
- Tottenham have one win in seven league games and have scored six goals
- Spurs have taken two points from three away games and scored once
The strongest argument against is Chelsea’s defence: one clean sheet in seven league games, and Penders has a single Premier League appearance behind him.
⭐ Confidence Level: High (4/5)
Value Tip: Both teams to score: No @ 13/10
- Tottenham failed to score in four of their seven league games
- Chelsea kept a clean sheet in three of the last five meetings: 2-0, 1-0 and 1-0
- Spurs scored three goals from chances worth 6.9 xG in their first six league games
- Chelsea won 2-0 at Everton with Penders in goal for the closing stages
The strongest argument against is Monday: Spurs scored three times against Coventry and have scored in each of their last three league games, which is why we have lowered our estimate to 46 per cent. Chelsea have also conceded in six of their seven league games.
⭐ Confidence Level: Low (2/5)
Our Prediction
Correct score prediction: Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham @ 9/1. A scenario that fits every pick on this page: Chelsea lead 1-0 at half-time and win by two goals without conceding.
⭐ Confidence Level: Low (2/5)
Bet Builder
| Selection | Market |
|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea to win (Match result) |
| 2 | Both teams to score: No |
Combined odds at Casumo: 21/10. Both legs land with any Chelsea win to nil, such as 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0.
First Half: Chelsea to lead at half-time @ 5/4
Chelsea scored twice in the first three minutes against Bournemouth and three times inside 32 minutes against Brighton, their last two home league wins. A Chelsea lead at the break also fits our 2-0 scenario.
⭐ Confidence Level: Low (2/5)
Longer Shot: Chelsea -1 (3-way handicap) @ 15/8
Chelsea -1 wins if Chelsea win by two goals or more. Both of Chelsea’s last two league wins came by at least two goals (5-1 and 2-0), and two of Tottenham’s three league defeats were by two goals or more.
⭐ Confidence Level: Low (2/5)
Team News
Chelsea
Emiliano Martínez is out after surgery on a broken jaw, so Mike Penders, who replaced him at Everton, should start. Pep Chavarría missed the Everton game with a knock picked up in training and Jorrel Hato, who set up Neto’s opener, is set to keep his place at left wing-back. Malo Gusto missed out through illness and should be available, while Reece James is being assessed week by week with a knee problem and Jamie Gittens is out with an ankle injury. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top league scorer with five goals.
Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Penders; Acheampong, Lacroix, Colwill; Hato, Caicedo, Henderson, Neto; Rogers, Palmer; João Pedro
Predicted lineups are based on the latest news, current team form, injuries and suspensions, and players’ latest form.
Tottenham
Rodrigo Bentancur is still suspended after his red card at Old Trafford, and Pedro Porro is a doubt with a hamstring problem. Tosin Adarabioyo and Andy Robertson both went off injured against Coventry, but De Zerbi called them small problems; Ben Davies and Mateus Fernandes came on for them. Mykhailo Mudryk, Wilson Odobert and Xavi Simons are out.
Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Kinsky; Van de Ven, Van Hecke, Adarabioyo; Robertson, Tonali, Maddison, Gray; Marmoush, Kudus; Solanke
Predicted lineups are based on the latest news, current team form, injuries and suspensions, and players’ latest form.
Recent Form
Chelsea
| Res. | Opponent | Comp. |
|---|---|---|
| W 2-0 | Everton (A) | PL |
| W 5-1 | Bournemouth (H) | PL |
| L 0-3 | Brentford (A) | PL |
| D 2-2 | Hull (H) | PL |
| L 1-2 | Arsenal (A) | PL |
Two wins, a draw and two defeats in the last five league games, but back-to-back wins and seven goals in the last two.
Tottenham
| Res. | Opponent | Comp. |
|---|---|---|
| W 3-1 | Coventry (H) | PL |
| D 1-1 | Manchester United (A) | PL |
| L 2-3 | Aston Villa (H) | PL |
| D 0-0 | Everton (H) | PL |
| D 0-0 | Nottingham Forest (A) | PL |
One win, three draws and a defeat in the last five league games, and all six of their league goals this season have come in this run.
W = win | D = draw | L = loss | H = home | A = away. Most recent first.
Underlying Numbers
| Chelsea | Per match | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Goals | 0.5 |
| 1.5 | xG | 1.2 |
| 1.9 | Conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.4 | xGA | 1.5 |
Premier League 2026-27, per match. The xG figures were updated on 17 October: Chelsea after seven games, Tottenham after six, before Monday’s 3-1 against Coventry. Chelsea have scored 17 goals from chances worth 10.2 xG, the biggest overperformance in the league, while Spurs scored three from 6.9 xG. At home Chelsea have scored 11 from 5.5 xG in three games, and Spurs scored one from 3.4 xG in their three away games.
Chelsea v Tottenham: Head-to-Head
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | Chelsea v Tottenham | 2-1 |
| 1 November 2025 | Tottenham v Chelsea | 0-1 |
| 3 April 2025 | Chelsea v Tottenham | 1-0 |
| 8 December 2024 | Tottenham v Chelsea | 3-4 |
| 2 May 2024 | Chelsea v Tottenham | 2-0 |
Chelsea have won the last six league meetings. Both teams scored in two of the last five, and Chelsea kept a clean sheet in the other three.
Premier League: Table after Matchweek 7
Chelsea are fourth on 13 points, eight behind leaders Manchester City. Tottenham climbed out of the bottom three with Monday’s win and are 16th on six points, level with Coventry and Bournemouth.
Our Recent Results
Last Week’s Tips
Main 33/43 | Value 28/43 |
Bet Builder 24/43 | Correct Score 7/43 |
Win Percentage 53.5%ROI +7.74%
The summary covers all 43 matches in our 13-19 October betting tips, and the weekly accumulator landed with all five selections. Read our 13-19 October betting tips.
Results 21 August-19 October
Main 208/327 | Value 179/327 |
Bet Builder 125/327 | Correct Score 39/327 |
Win Percentage 42.1%ROI -7.73%
Weekly Accumulator: The Result
The accumulator landed with all five selections: Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla, Bayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig, Strasbourg 1-3 PSG, Real Betis 2-5 Barcelona and Roma 2-0 Genoa.
Read the 13-19 October accumulator here.
How Did Our Highlight Match Go?
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal: Arsenal won 1-0 at the City Ground. The main tip (Arsenal to win, 11/20) and the value tip (both teams to score: No, 4/5) landed, while the correct score (0-2) missed. Read the full preview here.
FAQs
Who are the favourites in Chelsea v Tottenham?
Chelsea are favourites at 8/11, with the draw and Tottenham both at 3/1 (BetMGM).
What is the prediction for Chelsea v Tottenham?
Our main tip is Chelsea to win at 7/10 and our value tip is both teams to score: No at 13/10. We are going for Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham.
When is Chelsea v Tottenham?
Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:30 BST, at Stamford Bridge in London.
How can I watch the match in the UK?
The match is live on Sky Sports.
How did the last meeting end?
Chelsea won 2-1 at Stamford Bridge on 19 May 2026.
Where are the teams in the table?
Chelsea are fourth with 13 points and Tottenham 16th with six after seven matchweeks.
For more betting tips, visit our betting tips hub and our Premier League betting page. This week we also have betting tips for PSG v Barcelona and Bayern Munich v Arsenal in the Champions League.
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