Betting Tips & Odds 13-19 October: All The Big Leagues
13 to 19 October 2026The week opens with the Champions League and Europa League, with eight English clubs in action, before the weekend's league programme, from the Premier League and the Championship to La Liga, Serie A, the Bundesliga and Ligue 1. Here are our tips for every match, with current odds on 1X2, Over/Under goals and Both Teams To Score.
Editor’s Pick: This Week’s Accumulator
Five selections from this weekend’s matches, for anyone looking to combine multiple favourites into a bigger overall price. This is our own editorial pick, not a guarantee.
- Real Madrid to win (La Liga, v Sevilla) @ 2/9
- Bayern Munich to win (Bundesliga, v RB Leipzig) @ 2/9
- PSG to win (Ligue 1, v Strasbourg) @ 2/5
- Barcelona to win (La Liga, v Real Betis) @ 2/5
- Roma to win (Serie A, v Genoa) @ 4/11
Combined odds: 31/10 at bet365
A £10 stake returns £41 including the stake on bet365’s slip. A single losing leg, though, means the whole accumulator is lost.
The odds provided in this roundup represent general market prices collected from several bookmakers at the time of writing. As these may differ from your specific bookmaker’s prices, please always verify the current odds before placing a bet.
Last Week’s Tips
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 22/35 won |
| Value | 21/35 won |
| Bet Builder | 15/35 won |
| Correct Score | 7/35 won |
Win Percentage: 46.4% | ROI: -0.96%
Over 9-12 October the main tip landed in 22 of 35 games and the value tip in 21, and 7 exact correct scores came in, including Inter 3-0 Parma, Lens 2-1 Lyon and Midtjylland 2-1 FC Copenhagen.
Read our full 9-12 October tips.
Results 21 August-12 October
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 175/284 won |
| Value | 151/284 won |
| Bet Builder | 101/284 won |
| Correct Score | 32/284 won |
Win Percentage: 40.4% | ROI: -10.15%
This Week’s Accumulator: The Result
Our accumulator fell one leg short: four of the five selections won, but Borussia Dortmund were held 2-2 by Werder Bremen.
Read the 9-12 October accumulator here.
How Did Our Highlight Match Go?
Liverpool v Manchester City: a strong afternoon. City won 3-0 at Anfield, so the main tip (Under 3.5 goals at 8/15), the value tip (City to win at 6/4) and the Bet Builder (3/1) all landed; only the correct score (1-2) missed. Read the full preview here.
Monday 19 October
Superliga: Viborg v FC Midtjylland
Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg | Monday 19 October, 18:00
Market Probability: Viborg 31% | Draw 27% | FC Midtjylland 42%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Midtjylland or draw | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
FC Midtjylland are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Viborg. After ten rounds, FC Midtjylland are 2nd in the Superliga on 22 points, with Viborg 3rd on 20. FC Midtjylland have scored 19 goals in ten league games, and Viborg 17 in ten. Last time out Midtjylland beat FC Copenhagen 2-1 to stay unbeaten in the Superliga, while Viborg won 2-0 away to Randers. That points us to FC Midtjylland or the draw (double chance) as the main tip, with both teams to score as our value pick.
Sunday 18 October
2. Bundesliga: Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück
SchücoArena, Bielefeld | Sunday 18 October, 12:30
Market Probability: Arminia Bielefeld 56% | Draw 22% | VfL Osnabrück 21%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Bielefeld win | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Arminia Bielefeld are clear home favourites against VfL Osnabrück. The market prices over 2.5 goals at 62%. Our main tip is an Arminia Bielefeld win, and Over 2.5 goals is the value angle.
Superliga: Lyngby v Nordsjælland
Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby | Sunday 18 October, 13:00
Market Probability: Lyngby 26% | Draw 24% | Nordsjælland 50%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Nordsjælland or draw | 1/4 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Nordsjælland are clear away favourites against Lyngby. After ten rounds, Nordsjælland are 4th in the Superliga on 18 points, with Lyngby 11th on 7. Nordsjælland have scored 14 goals in ten league games, and Lyngby 12 in ten. Lyngby have won only one of their ten league games and lost 5-2 away to Brøndby last time out. We go with Nordsjælland or the draw (double chance) as the main tip and both teams to score for value.
Allsvenskan: Sirius v Elfsborg
Studenternas IP, Uppsala | Sunday 18 October, 13:00
Market Probability: Sirius 48% | Draw 26% | Elfsborg 26%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | BTTS: Yes | 8/13 | 4/5 |
| Value | Sirius win (EP) | 10/11 | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Sirius are clear home favourites against Elfsborg. After 23 rounds, Sirius lead Allsvenskan on 54 points, with Elfsborg 4th on 40. Sirius have won 17 of their 23 league games and lead the table by ten points, while Elfsborg come off a 4-0 win over Halmstad. With Early Payout the bet is settled as a winner if Sirius win after 90 minutes or go two goals ahead at any point. That points us to both teams to score as the main tip, with a Sirius win with Early Payout as our value pick.
Ligue 1: Angers v Marseille
Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers | Sunday 18 October, 14:00
Market Probability: Angers 31% | Draw 26% | Marseille 43%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Marseille or draw | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Marseille are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Angers. After six rounds, Angers are 12th in Ligue 1 on 7 points, with Marseille 13th on 6. Marseille have scored 9 goals in six league games, and Angers 7 in six. Last weekend Marseille won 2-0 away to Troyes. Our main tip is Marseille or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.
Premier League: Leeds v Manchester United
Elland Road, Leeds | Sunday 18 October, 14:00
Market Probability: Leeds 38% | Draw 26% | Manchester United 36%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Leeds or draw | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 8/15 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Leeds win + BTTS: Yes | 27/10 | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 15/2 | 2/5 |
A genuinely even match, with little to separate the two sides. Leeds are 7th in the Premier League on 9 points after six rounds, while Manchester United are 13th on 6. Manchester United have scored 9 goals in six league games, and Leeds 8 in six. Last weekend Leeds lost 2-1 away to Arsenal, and Manchester United drew 1-1 with Tottenham. We go with Leeds or the draw (double chance) as the main tip and both teams to score for value.
Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg
BayArena, Leverkusen | Sunday 18 October, 14:30
Market Probability: Bayer Leverkusen 56% | Draw 22% | SC Freiburg 22%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Leverkusen win | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Bayer Leverkusen are clear home favourites against SC Freiburg. After five rounds, SC Freiburg lead the Bundesliga on 13 points, with Bayer Leverkusen 4th on 10. League games involving Bayer Leverkusen have averaged 4.4 goals, and those involving SC Freiburg 3.6. Freiburg are still unbeaten after five games and beat Schalke 2-1 last weekend. That points us to a Bayer Leverkusen win as the main tip, with Over 2.5 goals as our value pick.
Superliga: OB v Brøndby
Nature Energy Park, Odense | Sunday 18 October, 15:00
Market Probability: OB 31% | Draw 26% | Brøndby 43%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Brøndby or draw | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Brøndby are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against OB. After ten rounds, Brøndby are 5th in the Superliga on 16 points, with OB 9th on 10. Brøndby have scored 17 goals in ten league games, and OB 8 in ten. Last time out Brøndby beat Lyngby 5-2, while OB drew 0-0 away to Nordsjælland. Our main tip is Brøndby or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.
Allsvenskan: Halmstad v Hammarby
Örjans Vall, Halmstad | Sunday 18 October, 15:30
Market Probability: Halmstad 8% | Draw 14% | Hammarby 78%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Hammarby win | 1/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | Hammarby over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-3 | 8/1 | 2/5 |
Hammarby are clear away favourites against Halmstad. After 23 rounds, Hammarby are 3rd in Allsvenskan on 43 points, with Halmstad bottom of the table on 14. Hammarby have the best goal difference in the league at +28, Halmstad the worst at -28. Halmstad lost 4-0 away to Elfsborg last time out. We go with a Hammarby win as the main tip and Hammarby to score over 2.5 goals for value.
Allsvenskan: Malmö FF v Häcken
Eleda Stadion, Malmö | Sunday 18 October, 15:30
Market Probability: Malmö FF 41% | Draw 25% | Häcken 34%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Malmö FF or draw | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 8/1 | 2/5 |
A genuinely even match, with little to separate the two sides. After 23 rounds, Häcken are 5th in Allsvenskan on 39 points, with Malmö FF 6th on 36. Häcken have drawn nine of their 23 league games, the most in the division. Malmö beat Kalmar 1-0 on Monday. That points us to Malmö FF or the draw (double chance) as the main tip, with both teams to score as our value pick.
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal ★
Nottingham Forest, still without a home league goal this season, host second-placed Arsenal. Full analysis, value calculator, Bet Builder and the table are in our separate tip. Read the full tip here.
Serie A: Milan v Atalanta
San Siro, Milan | Sunday 18 October, 17:00
Market Probability: Milan 49% | Draw 26% | Atalanta 24%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | BTTS: Yes | 8/13 | 4/5 |
| Value | Milan win | 5/6 | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Milan are clear home favourites against Atalanta. After six rounds, Milan are 5th in Serie A on 12 points, with Atalanta 10th on 9. Milan have scored 11 goals in six league games, and Atalanta 8 in six. Last weekend Milan drew 1-1 away to Sassuolo, while Atalanta beat Venezia 3-1 on Monday. We go with both teams to score as the main tip and a Milan win for value.
Serie B: Sampdoria v Arezzo
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa | Sunday 18 October, 18:30
Market Probability: Sampdoria 51% | Draw 26% | Arezzo 22%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Sampdoria or draw | 1/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | Under 2.5 | 8/11 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-0 | 9/2 | 2/5 |
Sampdoria are clear home favourites against Arezzo. The market prices under 2.5 goals at 52%. That points us to Sampdoria or the draw (double chance) as the main tip, with Under 2.5 goals as our value pick.
Serie A: Juventus v Lazio
Allianz Stadium, Turin | Sunday 18 October, 19:45
Market Probability: Juventus 55% | Draw 26% | Lazio 19%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Juventus win | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Value | BTTS: No | 5/6 | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-0 | 11/2 | 2/5 |
Juventus are clear home favourites against Lazio. After six rounds, Lazio are 2nd in Serie A on 16 points, with Juventus 6th on 11. Lazio have conceded only 4 goals in six league games, and Juventus have scored 9 in six. Our main tip is a Juventus win, and Both Teams To Score: No is the value angle.
Ligue 1: Lyon v Nice
Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu | Sunday 18 October, 19:45
Market Probability: Lyon 55% | Draw 24% | Nice 20%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Lyon win | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 | 8/13 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Lyon are clear home favourites against Nice. After six rounds, Lyon are 4th in Ligue 1 on 11 points, with Nice 9th on 8. League games involving Lyon have averaged 2.5 goals, and those involving Nice 2.0. Last weekend Lyon lost 2-1 away to Lens, while Nice beat Strasbourg 2-1. We go with a Lyon win as the main tip and Over 2.5 goals for value.
La Liga: Real Madrid v Sevilla
Note: part of this week’s accumulator.
Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid | Sunday 18 October, 20:00
Market Probability: Real Madrid 76% | Draw 14% | Sevilla 10%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Real Madrid win | 2/9 | 5/5 |
| Value | Real Madrid over 2.5 goals | 8/11 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 3-1 | 8/1 | 2/5 |
Real Madrid are clear home favourites against Sevilla. After eight rounds, Real Madrid are 4th in La Liga on 18 points, with Sevilla 5th on 14. Real Madrid have scored 19 goals in eight league games. In their last league game Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1-0. That points us to a Real Madrid win as the main tip, with Real Madrid to score over 2.5 goals as our value pick.
Saturday 17 October
Premier League: Everton v Chelsea
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool | Saturday 17 October, 12:30
Market Probability: Everton 31% | Draw 26% | Chelsea 44%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Chelsea or draw | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Chelsea win + BTTS: Yes | 5/2 | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Chelsea are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Everton. After six rounds, Everton are 5th in the Premier League on 10 points, with Chelsea 6th on 10. Chelsea have scored 15 goals in six league games, and Everton 8 in six. Everton are unbeaten after six games, with two wins and four draws, and Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5-1 last time out. Our main tip is Chelsea or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.
La Liga: Espanyol v Atlético Madrid
RCDE Stadium, Cornellà | Saturday 17 October, 13:00
Market Probability: Espanyol 23% | Draw 25% | Atlético Madrid 52%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Atlético or draw | 1/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Atlético Madrid are clear away favourites against Espanyol. After eight rounds, Atlético Madrid are 2nd in La Liga on 19 points, with Espanyol 14th on 8. Atlético Madrid have scored 18 goals in eight league games, and Espanyol 11 in eight. Last weekend Atlético won 2-1 away to Alavés, and they have lost only one of their eight league games. We go with Atlético Madrid or the draw (double chance) as the main tip and both teams to score for value.
Serie A: Venezia v Napoli
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice | Saturday 17 October, 14:00
Market Probability: Venezia 20% | Draw 24% | Napoli 55%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Napoli win | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 8/13 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Napoli are clear away favourites against Venezia. After six rounds, Napoli are 8th in Serie A on 10 points, with Venezia bottom of the table on 0. Napoli have scored 10 goals in six league games, and Venezia 5 in six. Venezia lost 3-1 away to Atalanta on Monday, their sixth defeat in six league games, while Napoli beat Frosinone 3-0. That points us to a Napoli win as the main tip, with both teams to score as our value pick.
Bundesliga: Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg | Saturday 17 October, 14:30
Market Probability: Hamburger SV 26% | Draw 23% | VfB Stuttgart 51%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Stuttgart or draw | 1/4 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 1/3 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
VfB Stuttgart are clear away favourites against Hamburger SV. After five rounds, VfB Stuttgart are 11th in the Bundesliga on 6 points, with Hamburger SV 12th on 6. VfB Stuttgart have scored 8 goals in five league games, and Hamburger SV 5 in five. Our main tip is VfB Stuttgart or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.
Bundesliga: Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin | Saturday 17 October, 14:30
Market Probability: Union Berlin 21% | Draw 23% | Borussia Dortmund 56%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Dortmund win | 8/13 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Borussia Dortmund are clear away favourites against Union Berlin. After five rounds, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga on 13 points, with Union Berlin 16th on 4. League games involving Union Berlin have averaged 4.4 goals, and those involving Borussia Dortmund 3.0. Last weekend Dortmund drew 2-2 with Werder Bremen, but they remain unbeaten in the Bundesliga. We go with a Borussia Dortmund win as the main tip and Over 2.5 goals for value.
Premier League: Brentford v Liverpool
Brentford Community Stadium, London | Saturday 17 October, 15:00
Market Probability: Brentford 39% | Draw 26% | Liverpool 35%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Brentford or draw | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 15/2 | 2/5 |
A genuinely even match, with little to separate the two sides. After six rounds, Brentford are 4th in the Premier League on 10 points, with Liverpool 9th on 9. Brentford have scored 12 goals in six league games, and Liverpool 7 in six. Liverpool lost 3-0 at home to Manchester City last weekend, while Brentford are still unbeaten after six league games. That points us to Brentford or the draw (double chance) as the main tip, with both teams to score as our value pick.
Odds correct at time of writing. Always check current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.
Serie B: Mantova v Palermo
Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova | Saturday 17 October, 16:15
Market Probability: Mantova 29% | Draw 29% | Palermo 42%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Palermo or draw | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Palermo are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Mantova. The market prices both teams scoring at 60%. Palermo won 4-2 away to Empoli last time out. Our main tip is Palermo or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.
Ligue 1: Strasbourg v PSG
Note: part of this week’s accumulator.
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg | Saturday 17 October, 16:15
Market Probability: Strasbourg 16% | Draw 18% | PSG 67%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | PSG win | 2/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
PSG are clear away favourites against Strasbourg. After six rounds, PSG are 6th in Ligue 1 on 11 points, with Strasbourg 11th on 7. Strasbourg have scored 11 goals in six league games, and PSG 11 in six. Last weekend PSG beat Le Mans 3-1, while Strasbourg lost 2-1 away to Nice. We go with a PSG win as the main tip and both teams to score for value.
Allsvenskan: AIK v IFK Göteborg
Strawberry Arena, Solna | Saturday 17 October, 16:30
Market Probability: AIK 37% | Draw 26% | IFK Göteborg 37%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | BTTS: Yes | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Value | DNB: IFK Göteborg | 5/6 | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 8/1 | 2/5 |
A genuinely even match, with little to separate the two sides. After 23 rounds, IFK Göteborg are 8th in Allsvenskan on 35 points, with AIK 9th on 33. AIK are without a win in five league games after losing 6-5 at home to Brommapojkarna, while IFK Göteborg have won five in a row. That points us to both teams to score as the main tip, with IFK Göteborg draw no bet (stake back on a draw) as our value pick.
Serie A: Bologna v Inter
Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna | Saturday 17 October, 17:00
Market Probability: Bologna 19% | Draw 23% | Inter 58%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Inter win | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 8/13 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Inter are clear away favourites against Bologna. After six rounds, Inter lead Serie A on 16 points, with Bologna 14th on 5. Inter have scored 18 goals in six league games, the most in Serie A, and Bologna 5 in six. Bologna won 2-1 away to Lecce last weekend, while Inter beat Parma 3-0 to lead the table ahead of Lazio on goal difference. Our main tip is an Inter win, and both teams to score is the value angle.
Bundesliga: Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig
Note: part of this week’s accumulator.
Allianz Arena, Munich | Saturday 17 October, 17:30
Market Probability: Bayern Munich 76% | Draw 13% | RB Leipzig 11%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Bayern win | 1/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | Bayern over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 3-1 | 8/1 | 2/5 |
Bayern Munich are clear home favourites against RB Leipzig. After five rounds, Bayern Munich are 3rd in the Bundesliga on 11 points, with RB Leipzig 5th on 9. Bayern Munich have scored 16 goals in five league games, the most in the Bundesliga. Last weekend Bayern drew 2-2 away to Augsburg, while RB Leipzig beat Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0. We go with a Bayern Munich win as the main tip and Bayern Munich to score over 2.5 goals for value.
Premier League: Newcastle v Aston Villa
St James’ Park, Newcastle | Saturday 17 October, 17:30
Market Probability: Newcastle 43% | Draw 26% | Aston Villa 30%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Newcastle or draw | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Newcastle are home favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Aston Villa. After six rounds, Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League on 8 points, with Aston Villa 16th on 5. Newcastle have scored 10 goals in six league games, and Aston Villa 6 in six. On Monday Newcastle lost 4-1 away to Coventry, and Aston Villa drew 2-2 with Brentford at the weekend. That points us to Newcastle or the draw (double chance) as the main tip, with both teams to score as our value pick.
La Liga: Real Betis v Barcelona
Note: part of this week’s accumulator.
Estadio de La Cartuja, Seville | Saturday 17 October, 17:30
Market Probability: Real Betis 17% | Draw 18% | Barcelona 66%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Barcelona win | 2/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 4/11 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 15/2 | 2/5 |
Barcelona are clear away favourites against Real Betis. After eight rounds, Barcelona lead La Liga on 24 points, with Real Betis 3rd on 19. Barcelona have scored 34 goals in eight league games, the most in La Liga, and Real Betis 14 in eight. Real Betis beat Osasuna 5-2 last weekend, while Barcelona have won all eight of their league games. Our main tip is a Barcelona win, and both teams to score is the value angle.
Ligue 1: Lille v Brest
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve-d’Ascq | Saturday 17 October, 19:45
Market Probability: Lille 51% | Draw 24% | Brest 24%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Lille or draw | 2/9 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Lille are clear home favourites against Brest. After six rounds, Lille are 2nd in Ligue 1 on 13 points, with Brest 7th on 8. Brest have scored 12 goals in six league games, and Lille 9 in six. Last weekend Lille beat Le Havre 1-0. We go with Lille or the draw (double chance) as the main tip and both teams to score for value.
Serie A: Roma v Genoa
Note: part of this week’s accumulator.
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | Saturday 17 October, 19:45
Market Probability: Roma 69% | Draw 19% | Genoa 12%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Roma win | 1/3 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: No | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-0 | 5/1 | 2/5 |
Roma are clear home favourites against Genoa. After six rounds, Roma are 3rd in Serie A on 14 points, with Genoa 17th on 4. Roma have conceded only 3 goals in six league games, and Genoa have scored 5 in six. Last weekend Roma drew 0-0 away to Como, while Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1. That points us to a Roma win as the main tip, with Both Teams To Score: No as our value pick.
La Liga: Valencia v Athletic Club
Mestalla, Valencia | Saturday 17 October, 20:00
Market Probability: Valencia 27% | Draw 29% | Athletic Club 44%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Athletic Club or draw | 3/10 | 5/5 |
| Value | Under 2.5 | 8/11 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 0-1 | 11/2 | 2/5 |
Athletic Club are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Valencia. After eight rounds, Athletic Club are 9th in La Liga on 8 points, with Valencia 19th on 5. Athletic Club have conceded only 6 goals in six league games, and Valencia have scored 6 in eight. Valencia have won only one of their eight league games, and Athletic Club have played two games fewer. Our main tip is Athletic Club or the draw (double chance), and Under 2.5 goals is the value angle.
Friday 16 October
Allsvenskan: Brommapojkarna v Djurgården
Grimsta IP, Stockholm | Friday 16 October, 18:00
Market Probability: Brommapojkarna 17% | Draw 20% | Djurgården 63%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Djurgården win | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 8/13 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-3 | 9/1 | 2/5 |
Djurgården are clear away favourites against Brommapojkarna. After 23 rounds, Djurgården are 2nd in Allsvenskan on 44 points, with Brommapojkarna 11th on 30. Djurgården won both league meetings last season 1-0 and come off a 1-0 derby win over Hammarby. Brommapojkarna won 6-5 away to AIK last time out. We go with a Djurgården win as the main tip and both teams to score for value.
Championship: Burnley v Wolves
Turf Moor, Burnley | Friday 16 October, 20:00
Market Probability: Burnley 31% | Draw 26% | Wolves 43%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Wolves or draw | 4/11 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 4/7 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Wolves are away favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Burnley. After nine rounds, Wolves are 6th in the Championship on 14 points, with Burnley 22nd on 7. Wolves have scored 15 goals in eight league games, and Burnley 13 in nine. Burnley won 4-0 away to Watford last time out, while Wolves lost 1-0 away to Middlesbrough and have a game in hand. That points us to Wolves or the draw (double chance) as the main tip, with both teams to score as our value pick.
Thursday 15 October
Europa League: Lyon v Crystal Palace
Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu | Thursday 15 October, 17:45
Market Probability: Lyon 41% | Draw 27% | Crystal Palace 32%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Lyon or draw | 4/11 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: Yes | 4/9 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-1 | 15/2 | 2/5 |
Lyon are home favourites, but not by a wide margin, against Crystal Palace. The market prices both teams scoring at 61%. Lyon are 4th in Ligue 1 on 11 points after six games and lost 2-1 away to Lens last weekend. Crystal Palace are 12th in the Premier League on 7 points after six games and beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 last time out. Our main tip is Lyon or the draw (double chance), and both teams to score is the value angle.
Europa League: Torreense v Sunderland
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria | Thursday 15 October, 17:45
Market Probability: Torreense 14% | Draw 18% | Sunderland 67%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Sunderland win | 4/11 | 5/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 | 1/2 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
Sunderland are clear away favourites against Torreense. The market prices over 2.5 goals at 63%. Torreense opened their Europa League campaign with a 2-1 win away to Lillestrøm. Sunderland are 17th in the Premier League on 4 points after six games. We go with a Sunderland win as the main tip and Over 2.5 goals for value.
Europa League: Bournemouth v Sturm Graz
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth | Thursday 15 October, 20:00
Market Probability: Bournemouth 79% | Draw 13% | Sturm Graz 8%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Bournemouth win | 1/6 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: No | 8/11 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-0 | 11/2 | 2/5 |
Bournemouth are clear home favourites against Sturm Graz. The market prices at least one clean sheet at 51%. Bournemouth are 18th in the Premier League on 3 points after six games and lost 5-1 away to Chelsea last time out. That points us to a Bournemouth win as the main tip, with Both Teams To Score: No as our value pick.
Wednesday 14 October
Champions League: LASK v Liverpool
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz | Wednesday 14 October, 17:45
Market Probability: LASK 11% | Draw 15% | Liverpool 74%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Liverpool win | 1/4 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: No | Evens | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 0-2 | 6/1 | 2/5 |
Liverpool are clear away favourites against LASK. The market prices at least one clean sheet at 45%. On Matchday 1, LASK lost 1-0 away to AEK Athens, while Liverpool beat Atlético Madrid 2-1 at home. Liverpool are 9th in the Premier League on 9 points after six games and lost 3-0 at home to Manchester City last weekend. Our main tip is a Liverpool win, and Both Teams To Score: No is the value angle.
Champions League: Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe
Villa Park, Birmingham | Wednesday 14 October, 20:00
Market Probability: Aston Villa 55% | Draw 25% | Fenerbahçe 20%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Aston Villa or draw | 1/5 | 5/5 |
| Value | Under 2.5 | 5/4 | 3/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-0 | 7/1 | 2/5 |
Aston Villa are clear home favourites against Fenerbahçe. The market prices under 2.5 goals at 42%. On Matchday 1, Aston Villa won 3-2 away to Club Brugge, while Fenerbahçe drew 1-1 at home to Roma. Aston Villa are 16th in the Premier League on 5 points after six games and drew 2-2 with Brentford last weekend. We go with Aston Villa or the draw (double chance) as the main tip and Under 2.5 goals for value.
Championship: Lincoln v West Ham
LNER Stadium, Lincoln | Wednesday 14 October, 20:00
Market Probability: Lincoln 19% | Draw 24% | West Ham 56%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | West Ham win | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Value | Over 2.5 | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Main + value | – | 3/5 |
| Score | 1-2 | 13/2 | 2/5 |
West Ham are clear away favourites against Lincoln. After nine rounds, West Ham are 3rd in the Championship on 16 points, with Lincoln 16th on 11. League games involving Lincoln have averaged 2.0 goals, and those involving West Ham 3.9. West Ham have scored 23 goals in nine league games, the most in the Championship. That points us to a West Ham win as the main tip, with Over 2.5 goals as our value pick.
Manchester City v PSG ★
Manchester City, winners of all six of their Premier League games so far, host back-to-back European champions PSG. Full analysis, value calculator, Bet Builder and the league-phase table are in our separate tip. Read the full tip here.
Tuesday 13 October
Champions League: Arsenal v Lille
Emirates Stadium, London | Tuesday 13 October, 20:00
Market Probability: Arsenal 74% | Draw 17% | Lille 9%
| Tip | Market | Odds | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Arsenal win | 2/9 | 5/5 |
| Value | BTTS: No | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| Builder | Arsenal win (EP) + BTTS: No | 20/23 | 3/5 |
| Score | 2-0 | 9/2 | 2/5 |
Arsenal are clear home favourites against Lille. The market prices at least one clean sheet at 55%. On Matchday 1, Arsenal won 1-0 away to Napoli, while Lille lost 3-2 at home to Real Betis. In the league, Arsenal are 2nd in the Premier League on 15 points after six games, while Lille are 2nd in Ligue 1 on 13 points after six games. We go with an Arsenal win as the main tip and Both Teams To Score: No for value.
Atlético Madrid v Manchester United ★
Atlético, beaten 2-1 at Anfield on Matchday 1, host a Manchester United side who opened with a 4-0 win over Sabah. Full analysis, value calculator, Bet Builder and the league-phase table are in our separate tip. Read the full tip here.
Odds correct at time of writing. Always check current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.
Football on TV 13-19 October
Tuesday 13 October
- 20:00 Arsenal v Lille (Champions League): TNT Sports
- 20:00 Atlético Madrid v Manchester United (Champions League): Amazon Prime Video
Wednesday 14 October
- 17:45 LASK v Liverpool (Champions League): TNT Sports
- 20:00 Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe (Champions League): TNT Sports
- 20:00 Lincoln v West Ham (Championship): Sky Sports
- 20:00 Manchester City v PSG (Champions League): TNT Sports
Thursday 15 October
- 17:45 Lyon v Crystal Palace (Europa League): TNT Sports
- 17:45 Torreense v Sunderland (Europa League): TNT Sports
- 20:00 Bournemouth v Sturm Graz (Europa League): TNT Sports
Friday 16 October
- 20:00 Burnley v Wolves (Championship): Sky Sports
Saturday 17 October
- 12:30 Everton v Chelsea (Premier League): TNT Sports
- 16:15 Strasbourg v PSG (Ligue 1): Ligue 1+
- 17:30 Newcastle v Aston Villa (Premier League): Sky Sports
- 19:45 Lille v Brest (Ligue 1): Ligue 1+
Sunday 18 October
- 14:00 Angers v Marseille (Ligue 1): Ligue 1+
- 14:00 Leeds v Manchester United (Premier League): Sky Sports
- 16:30 Nottingham Forest v Arsenal (Premier League): Sky Sports
- 19:45 Lyon v Nice (Ligue 1): Ligue 1+
Times are UK time. Only matches with a confirmed live broadcaster in the UK are listed.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who are the clearest favourites this week?
Bournemouth (1/6 against Sturm Graz) and Bayern Munich (1/5 against RB Leipzig) carry the shortest prices of the week.
Which match is the most even?
AIK v IFK Göteborg is the most even match of the week, with the market barely separating the two sides.
Where can I watch the matches in the UK?
Our Football on TV section above lists every match in this roundup with a confirmed live broadcaster in the UK, grouped by day with UK kick-off times. Saturday 15:00 kick-offs are not shown live in the UK.
Which English clubs play in Europe this week?
Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United play in the Champions League, while Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Sunderland are in the Europa League.
Which Champions League games are included?
Atlético Madrid v Manchester United and Arsenal v Lille on Tuesday, then LASK v Liverpool, Manchester City v PSG and Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe on Wednesday. Atlético Madrid v Manchester United and Manchester City v PSG have their own tip articles.
For more tips visit our betting tips hub, or read our Champions League Matchday 2 tips.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | begambleaware.org | gamstop.co.uk