England v Czechia: Betting Tips & Odds
Nations League, Group A3 | Wembley Stadium, London | Tuesday 6 October 2026, 19:45 BST
Our main tip is England to win at 1/5. The value tip is Both Teams To Score: No at 2/3. We’re calling it England 2-0 Czechia, a repeat of the scoreline in Prague a week earlier.
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Our Tips
| Tip | Market | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Main Tip | England to win | 1/5 |
| Value Tip | Both teams to score – No | 2/3 |
| Correct Score | England 2-0 Czechia | 11/2 |
Odds correct at time of writing. Always check current odds with your bookmaker before placing a bet.
Last Week’s Tips
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 16/26 won |
| Value | 12/26 won |
| Bet Builder | 9/26 won |
| Correct Score | 2/26 won |
Win Percentage: 37.5% | ROI: -2.79%
Six goalless draws made Matchday 2 a tough round for any tip that needed goals: Bulgaria-Estonia, Finland-Belarus, Northern Ireland-Hungary, Georgia-Ukraine, Latvia-Cyprus and Gibraltar-Andorra all finished 0-0. Two correct scores landed exactly: Serbia 1-2 Netherlands and Norway 1-2 Portugal.
Read the full analysis for Matchday 2 here.
Results 21 August-29 September
| Tip Type | Record |
|---|---|
| Main | 124/197 won |
| Value | 101/197 won |
| Bet Builder | 68/197 won |
| Correct Score | 17/197 won |
Win Percentage: 39.3% | ROI: -12.90%
This Week’s Accumulator: The Result
Four of five selections came in: Albania, Spain, Slovakia and Austria all won as required. Germany, the third leg, lost 1-0 at home to Greece, so the accumulator falls one leg short.
Read the full tip with the accumulator here.
🏆 Editor’s Pick
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How Did Our Highlight Match Go?
Czechia v England: a mixed result. The main tip landed as England won 2-0 in Prague, but the value tip (Over 2.5 goals) and the correct score (1-2) both missed in a two-goal game. Read the full tip here.
1X2 and Main Markets
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| England | 1/5 |
| Draw | 13/2 |
| Czechia | 16/1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8/13 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29/20 |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 27/20 |
| Both teams to score – No | 2/3 |
England are heavy favourites at 1/5, with Czechia out at 173/11. The more interesting market is Both Teams To Score: No at 2/3 is shorter than Yes at 27/20, so the market expects Czechia to struggle to score at Wembley.
Value Calculator
| Market | Odds | Implied Probability | Our Estimate | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England to win | 1/5 | 83.3% | 82% | -1.3% |
| Draw | 125/19 | 13.2% | 12% | -1.2% |
| Czechia to win | 173/11 | 6.0% | 6% | 0.0% |
Market probability: England 81% | Draw 13% | Czechia 6% (calculated from the 1X2 odds above, with the bookmaker’s margin removed).
The de-vigging itself is a straightforward calculation on the three prices; “our estimate” beyond that is editorial judgement built from current form, not a proprietary model. At 1/5 there is little value left in the England win on its own, which is why our value tip looks at Czechia’s attack instead: one goal in two games is the number that stands out.
Our Tips in Detail
Main Tip: England to win @ 1/5
- England won the reverse fixture 2-0 in Prague a week before this match, with Anthony Gordon and Harry Kane scoring against a Czechia side that finished with ten men after Pavel Šulc was sent off
- Czechia are still without a point in Group A3 after defeats to Croatia (1-2) and England (0-2)
- Kane and Gordon have scored in both of England’s Nations League games so far
England are clear favourites for good reason: they beat this opponent comfortably seven days earlier, and now they are at home.
Value Tip: Both teams to score – No @ 2/3
- Czechia have scored just once in two group games, in the 1-2 defeat to Croatia
- England kept a clean sheet in Prague
- Czechia have been short of attacking options since Patrik Schick retired from international football after the World Cup
The one argument against: England conceded three at Wembley against Spain on Matchday 1. Against a Czechia attack that has struggled all autumn, though, a clean sheet at 2/3 looks the stronger price than the 1/5 on the win.
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Our Prediction
Correct Score prediction: England 2-0 Czechia. A scenario consistent with both the main tip and the value tip: England win and Czechia fail to score, exactly as they did in Prague.
⭐ Confidence Level: Medium (3/5)
Bet Builder
| Selection | Market | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | England to win | 1/5 |
| 2 | Both teams to score – No | 2/3 |
| Combined | – |
⭐ Confidence Level Bet Builder: Medium (3/5)
In practice this Bet Builder is an England win to nil, built on Czechia’s lack of goals and England’s clean sheet in the reverse fixture.
Team News
England
Thomas Tuchel’s squad for this window was hit by early withdrawals, with Declan Rice, Cole Palmer, Marcus Rashford, Kobbie Mainoo and Tino Livramento all pulling out through injury. England lost 2-3 to world champions Spain in the opening round before beating Czechia 2-0 in Prague, where Gordon and Kane were on target. Myles Lewis-Skelly was booked in that game. England are also joint top of the whole tournament for passing accuracy (91.5%, level with Italy). This is their fourth match of the window, three days after the trip to Croatia on Matchday 3.
Predicted lineup (based on current form, called-up players and recent injury news): Trafford; Alexander-Arnold, Chalobah, Guéhi, Hall; Lewis-Skelly, Anderson, Saka; Rogers, Kane, Gordon.
Predicted lineup (based on current form, called-up players and recent injury news): Trafford; Alexander-Arnold, Chalobah, Guéhi, Hall; Lewis-Skelly, Anderson, Saka; Rogers, Kane, Gordon.
Czechia
Santi Denia, the first foreign head coach in Czechia’s history, is still waiting for his first win after defeats to Croatia and England. Captain Ladislav Krejčí, Adam Hložek and Pavel Šulc remain the key names, but Šulc was sent off in Prague and serves his suspension against Spain on Matchday 3. Czechia also have limited forward options since Patrik Schick retired from international football after the World Cup.
Predicted lineup (based on current form, called-up players and recent injury news): Kovář; Chaloupek, Hranáč, Krejčí, Sláma; Červ, Sadílek, Karabec; Radosta, Hložek, Šulc.
Predicted lineup is not confirmed and may change before kick-off; Šulc’s inclusion depends on his suspension being limited to one match.
Recent Form
England
| Result | Opponent | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| W 2-0 | Czechia (A) | Nations League |
| L 2-3 | Spain (H) | Nations League |
| W 6-4 | France (N) | World Cup third-place play-off |
| L 1-2 | Argentina (N) | World Cup semi-final |
| W 2-1 | Norway (N, AET) | World Cup quarter-final |
Czechia
| Result | Opponent | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| L 0-2 | England (H) | Nations League |
| L 1-2 | Croatia (H) | Nations League |
| L 0-3 | Mexico (A) | World Cup, group stage |
| D 1-1 | South Africa (N) | World Cup, group stage |
| L 1-2 | South Korea (N) | World Cup, group stage |
Czechia have not won in their last five matches, a run stretching back to the World Cup group stage.
England v Czechia: Head to Head
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 29 September 2026 | Czechia v England (Nations League) | 0-2 |
| 22 June 2021 | Czechia v England (Euro) | 0-1 |
| 11 October 2019 | Czechia v England (Euro qualifying) | 2-1 |
| 22 March 2019 | England v Czechia (Euro qualifying) | 5-0 |
| 20 August 2008 | England v Czechia (Friendly) | 2-2 |
England have won three of the last five meetings, including both of the most recent. Czechia’s only win in that run came in October 2019.
Group A3: Standings after Matchday 2
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7-3 | 6 |
| 2 | England | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-3 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 0 |
England sit above Croatia on goal difference; the two sides meet on Matchday 3 before this game.
Remaining Group A3 Fixtures
| Date | Match | Kick-off |
|---|---|---|
| Saturday 3 October | Croatia v England | 17:00 BST |
| Saturday 3 October | Spain v Czechia | 19:45 BST |
| Tuesday 6 October | Croatia v Spain | 19:45 BST |
| Tuesday 6 October | England v Czechia | 19:45 BST |
| Thursday 12 November | Czechia v Spain | 19:45 GMT |
| Thursday 12 November | England v Croatia | 19:45 GMT |
| Sunday 15 November | Croatia v Czechia | 19:45 GMT |
| Sunday 15 November | Spain v England | 19:45 GMT |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favourite in England v Czechia?
England are heavy favourites at 1/5. Czechia are priced at 173/11, with the draw at 125/19.
What is the prediction for England v Czechia?
Our main tip is England to win at 1/5. The value tip is Both Teams To Score: No. We expect England 2-0 Czechia.
When is England v Czechia?
Tuesday 6 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 BST, at Wembley Stadium in London, for Group A3 of the Nations League.
What happened when England and Czechia met last week?
England won 2-0 in Prague on 29 September, with goals from Anthony Gordon and Harry Kane, against a Czechia side reduced to ten men after Pavel Šulc’s red card.
Where do England stand in Group A3?
After two matchdays England are second on three points, level with Croatia and three behind Spain, who beat England 3-2 at Wembley on Matchday 1.
For more betting tips, visit our betting tips hub, or see our Matchday 3 roundup and our England v Spain tip from the opening round.
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